{"id":794,"date":"2021-04-12T10:00:32","date_gmt":"2021-04-12T10:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/?page_id=794"},"modified":"2026-03-30T14:25:19","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T14:25:19","slug":"recent-speeches","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/?page_id=794","title":{"rendered":"Speeches &#038; Articles"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p>26th March 2026<\/p>\r\n<p><strong>THE UK-US RELATIONSHIP: \u00a0HOW SPECIAL NOW?<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>Sir Michael Fallon, former Defence Secretary, speaking to the <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/harknessfellows.org.uk\/\"><strong>Harkness Fellows<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>It\u2019s a pleasure to be addressing the Harkness Fellows this evening, and especially on such an important topic. \u00a0Well-timed too, not just because of the current conflict in the Gulf but because we mark this year the 250<sup>th<\/sup> anniversary &#8211; the semiquincentennial &#8211; of American independence.<\/p>\r\n<p>That first Brexit has been stunningly successful, giving the world a new democracy of immense strength, vibrancy and generosity.\u00a0 A country that for nearly a century has led the free world and made huge sacrifices of blood and treasure in defence of civilised values and freedoms around the globe: \u00a0freedom of expression, the rule of law, the priceless right to rid ourselves of bad governments.\u00a0 Nothing else I say tonight should lessen my profound admiration for a country that I have been visiting for over forty years.<\/p>\r\n<p>Tonight I want to focus of the other side of that Brexit, and examine the ledger from the British point of view: \u00a0How stands the UK-US relationship today? \u00a0Is it still special? \u00a0Is it as important to the United States as it still is to us?\u00a0 Or have we become steadily less relevant to Washington?<\/p>\r\n<p>The economic relationship is probably as close as ever.\u00a0 It was perhaps inevitable that two great, open, free enterprise economies, sharing historical ties, a common language and similar rules of competition and contract, would be bound to do more and more business with each other.\u00a0 We\u2019ve seen huge flows of trade and capital back and forth across the Atlantic.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>It\u2019s true that the flows have not always been equally balanced, even when adjusted for population and relative wealth. \u00a0US companies have certainly done very well over here, while ours have sometimes struggled to take full advantage of the larger American market.\u00a0 None the less Britain now holds well over \u00a3700 billion of US assets, and those capital flows help to underpin both our public and private economies.\u00a0 Our enormous public borrowing requirement, for example, is largely dependent on financing by the US-denominated bond markets.\u00a0 Though labelled as \u201cthe kindness of strangers\u201d, given the closeness between our two central banks and Treasuries, this might be better called \u201cthe kindness of friends\u201d. \u00a0\u00a0We almost take this for granted, and rarely ask where else we might want these capital flows to come from: \u00a0from countries less well-disposed to us?<\/p>\r\n<p>The heart of the special relationship, less visible but just as vital, is of course the defence relationship. \u00a0We fought both World Wars side by side.\u00a0 Happily our withdrawal from Empire coincided with the emergence of the United States as super-power, when we accepted with as much grace as we could muster the role of America\u2019s principal junior partner.\u00a0 That acceptance was well summed up, in the middle of World War Two, by Harold Macmillan, then Churchill\u2019s Minister in the Middle East (and later Prime Minister himself).\u00a0 He famously described Britin as playing the part of the Greeks to America\u2019s Rome, the new imperial power: \u00a0\u201c<em>you will find the Americans<\/em>\u201d he told his staff \u201c<em>much as the Greeks found the Romans \u2013 a great big vulgar bustling people, more vigorous than we are, with more unspoiled virtues.\u00a0 We must run our joint HQ here as the Greek slaves ran the operations of the Emperor Claudius<\/em>.\u201d\u00a0 (I\u2019m not sure whether Roosevelt would have appreciated the comparison with Claudius).\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Since the end of the Second World War, our alliance has flourished.\u00a0 British and American forces have served side by side in almost every conflict bar Vietnam and the Falklands: \u00a0Korea, the Cold War, the Balkans, the Gulf, Afghanistan and in my time in Iraq and Syria leading the Coalition against the Daesh. \u00a0Two years ago our air forces were flying together again, defending the Red Sea against Houthi attacks and defending Israel against Iranian missiles. \u00a0Tonight RAF Typhoons will be out again, flying alongside US aircraft to protect our bases and interests in the Gulf within our rules of engagement.<\/p>\r\n<p>Our militaries are deeply embedded in each other at every level, in each of our services and in all five domains.\u00a0 Beyond the purely military we have special agreements, much envied elsewhere in Europe, on intelligence sharing and co-operation between our various security agencies.\u00a0 We share membership of key groupings: \u00a0Five Eyes, the E3 and P5 at the United Nations, and the G7.\u00a0 We sit alphabetically side by side at every NATO meeting. \u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>And beyond that we both operate the same Trident nuclear ballistic missiles as part of our deterrent, though we keep them under independent national control. \u00a0You can\u2019t in fact get much closer to an ally than sharing a nuclear missile system: \u00a0go to Rosyth in Scotland and you will see the common missile compartment being built there for both our new Dreadnoughts and the US\u2019s new Columbia submarines.<\/p>\r\n<p>I would suggest to you that it is the breadth, range and depth of these relationships that elevate them beyond the personal relationship that may exist between particular Presidents and Prime Ministers. \u00a0Indeed, the special defence relationship has served us well in the most testing of times: \u00a0Macmillan and Kennedy negotiating the Test Ban Treaty in the early 1960s, or Reagan and Thatcher facing the Cold War challenge together in the mid-1980s. \u00a0It has also survived times of strong policy disagreement: \u00a0our occupation of the Suez Canal, for example, or Harold Wilson\u2019s refusal to send a single battalion to help in Vietnam.<\/p>\r\n<p>And when there are disagreements, we need to be careful about over-doing what JD Vance calls the \u201cpearl-clutching\u201d when those disagreements are expressed in language that seems to disrespect the relationship, or about channelling our disappointment into complaints about the personalities of the principals involved. \u00a0Just as there have been earlier Presidents who have been accused of abuse of power, of corruption, even of promiscuity, indeed former Presidents who have been impeached or forced to resign, so our American friends can point to British Prime Ministers who have come close to insider dealing or in more recent times have broken the rules.<\/p>\r\n<p>The special relationship, therefore, has always been bigger than its principal inter-locutors.\u00a0 A better question this evening might be: \u00a0is it weakening anyway?\u00a0 I suggest that there are at least four pressures bearing down on it:\u00a0 the more recent imbalance in the military relationship; the growing trend towards isolationism in the United States; the successive failures of the West to secure democracies in the Middle and Far East; and America\u2019s increasing pre-occupation with China. \u00a0Let me take each in turn.<\/p>\r\n<p>The miliary imbalance has indeed worsened.\u00a0 Concerns about British (and European) defence investment are not new: they date back to the 1990s.\u00a0 It was Obama, not Trump, who insisted on agreement to the 2 per cent of GDP defence spending target at Nato\u2019s Wales summit in 2014. \u00a0It was Ash Carter, his Democrat defence secretary, who pressed me, George Osborne and David Cameron to meet that target the following year.\u00a0 Even then there were doubts about the power and punch of UK forces.\u00a0 There was respect for our nuclear deterrent, for our special forces, for our two new carriers.\u00a0 But successive defence secretaries in my time \u2013 Chuck Hagel, Ash Carter and Jim Mattis \u2013 questioned our ability to field one, let alone two army divisions, to maintain properly a blue-water navy, to find the money to complete the purchase of the 138 F-35s that we had ordered (ten years on we have fewer than 40).<\/p>\r\n<p>Are we not seeing a resurgence of American isolationism in the MAGA movement\u2019s condemnation of \u201cforever wars\u201d and in Elbridge Colby\u2019s long-standing passion for more homeland defence?\u00a0 Again, none of this is new.\u00a0 There has always been a streak of healthy scepticism in the United States about getting involved in \u201cother people\u2019s wars\u201d. \u00a0When Henry Ford famously said \u201c<em>history is bunk<\/em>\u201d, it\u2019s often forgotten that he said it in the middle of the debate about whether the US should join in the First World War: \u00a0he was opposing the historical case for America to defend Europe\u2019s democracies against the Kaiser\u2019s Germany.<\/p>\r\n<p>Today, however, that isolationist tendency is being fuelled by other, more powerful forces: \u00a0economic grievance magnified by globalisation, cultural change driving identity issues of race and gender, and the demographic pressures of large-scale immigration.\u00a0 We seem a long way from the heady days of JFK asking what you can do for your country and droves of those young Americans volunteering for the Peace Corps.<\/p>\r\n<p>The third pressure on the special relationship is, I think, a lack of confidence in its purpose.\u00a0 That reflects a deeper malaise born of the serious setbacks for the West since the fall of communism and the so-called \u201cend of history\u201d.\u00a0 We have together tried and failed to implant democracy in places as far apart as Libya, Syria and Afghanistan.\u00a0 Freedom House\u2019s annual survey, earlier this month, shows the number of full democracies falling, not rising. \u00a0\u00a0Less than a quarter of the world\u2019s population have full democratic rights, a proportion that has halved in the last twenty years.\u00a0 It is no accident that Putin took his chance on invading Ukraine six months after our retreat from Kabul, and no surprise, perhaps, that some forty of the United Nations 200-odd members refused to condemn that invasion.<\/p>\r\n<p>Finally, there is the rise of China.\u00a0 For the first time the United States is confronted with a rival superpower that challenges them both economically and militarily.\u00a0 It seems sometimes to me that America just doesn\u2019t quite know how to handle China.\u00a0 They knew how to defeat the former Soviet Union: to undermine its ideology, outpace its economy, outspend and out-innovate its military. \u00a0But the United States now faces a China that is out-building its navy, out-spending its efforts in space, controlling its critical minerals and threatening its supremacy in the new technologies.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>And China is doing all this in and around America\u2019s own hemisphere.\u00a0 It should not have come as a surprise therefore that last November the new US National Security Strategy should have placed Europe, including Britain, third in its order of security priorities.\u00a0 That may point to the movement of troops, planes and missile defence away from our continent and back to the homeland.\u00a0 We need to understand that places like Cuba, Venezuela and even Greenland are part of America\u2019s hemisphere.\u00a0 Much closer to home, their stability matters more to Washington than the future of Crimea or even of Estonia.<\/p>\r\n<p>So how should we approach the special relationship?\u00a0 It is clearly not what it was since the days of Churchill and Roosevelt, Macmillan and Kennedy, or Reagan and Thatcher.\u00a0 What won\u2019t serve us is yet more pearl-clutching or mourning for a lost heritage.\u00a0 Instead, we should surely apply ourselves on this side of the Atlantic to trying to make ourselves more relevant to Washington.<\/p>\r\n<p>First, and most obviously, by rebuilding our military.\u00a0 Unless we strengthen our forces again, we cannot be taken seriously as a reliable partner to the United States or a credible deterrent to our common enemies.\u00a0 It is worth reminding ourselves that at the beginning of this century, long before 9\/11, long before international terrorism, before Russia invaded Crimea, before Iran and North Korea developed nuclear missiles, the Blair Government in 1999 was spending 2.7 per cent of our GDP on defence.\u00a0 Today it\u2019s 2.3 per cent, or some \u00a37 or 8 billion less per year.\u00a0 \u00a0And we now do not aim to reach the new NATO target of 3 per cent until the next Parliament.<\/p>\r\n<p>Second, we need to resume a leading role in NATO.\u00a0 In my time, we were the second biggest spender, earning the right to the Deputy Supreme Commander post. \u00a0Today we rank just 12<sup>th<\/sup> out of 32 members, a long way behind the Baltics and the Nordics, and only just ahead of Romania.\u00a0 Instead of worrying whether or when the United States might step away from Europe, we should be stepping up.\u00a0 The question for us and our allies isn\u2019t how many American troops might be withdrawn: we should rather wonder that 80 years after VE day we still rely on more than 80,000 US servicemen and women to guard NATO\u2019s Eastern frontier.\u00a0 It\u2019s our frontier, of course, and we in the West, along with the Spanish and Belgians and Portuguese, should be doing more to defend it.<\/p>\r\n<p>We have indeed led in Ukraine.\u00a0 But while we have done much with American help to stop Ukraine from losing their war, we haven\u2019t done nearly enough to help them win it.\u00a0 Europe can\u2019t go on leaving the main burden to the United States: \u00a0we need to supply much more of the weapons and intelligence that the Ukrainians need.\u00a0 We have been slow to enforce sanctions on Russia and to curb Russian abuse of our own financial system.<\/p>\r\n<p>Third, we should be working with our European partners to reduce our dependency on American defence and enablers.\u00a0 Patriot missiles, heavy lift, air-to-air refuelling, surveillance aircraft \u2013 these are high-end capabilities that a continent as wealthy as ours should be providing ourselves.\u00a0 That means co-operating with European companies, as we did with Germany and Italy on Typhoon, as we are doing with Poland on new missiles and with Norway on new frigates. \u00a0Whether through NATO or the European Defence Agency British companies should be fully engaged in these multi-lateral and mini-lateral partnerships.<\/p>\r\n<p>Fourth and finally, and here I do take some issue with the new US security strategy, the current war has confirmed that we can no longer consider three or four separate theatres. \u00a0We are enveloped now in a single conflict against countries that are hostile to our values and wish us harm.\u00a0 Iranian drones, North Korean troops and Chinese weapons are all being used in the Donbas.\u00a0 Hamas leaders are feted in Moscow.\u00a0 Blocking the Strait of Hormuz denies Europe its oil and gas.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Across the West our companies, our infrastructure and our democracy are subject to cyber and other hybrid attacks and interference.\u00a0 Sometimes these may be criminal in origin, but often now they are directed by state-backed criminal organisations or simply by state actors themselves.<\/p>\r\n<p>We need to persuade our American friends, through that special relationship, that this is all one conflict and that our shared values are under attack across the globe.\u00a0 If Putin can get his way by force in Ukraine, and then perhaps in Moldova and Georgia too, China will be further emboldened in the South China Sea.\u00a0 If the Strait of Hormuz is blocked with impunity, so Taiwan can be blockaded.\u00a0 If British companies can be closed down by cyber warriors, so can their American suppliers.<\/p>\r\n<p>Britain should therefore not despair of the special relationship. \u00a0We can still have the emperor\u2019s ear.\u00a0 Current disagreements can be overcome if we continue to remember the trust that binds us together.\u00a0 The trust that shares nuclear weapons, the trust that pools intelligence, the trust that has our militaries serving side by side.<\/p>\r\n<p>The special relationship, after all, has been extraordinary: it transcends history and seniority.\u00a0 It has outlasted very different Prime Ministers and Presidents. \u00a0Built on enduring common values it will continue to survive if those values are respected, shared and trusted.\u00a0 If you\u2019ve seen that wonderful musical Hamilton, you\u2019ll remember Alexander Hamilton\u2019s great challenge to Aaron Burr: <em>\u201cif you stand for nothing, Burr, what will you fall for?\u201d<\/em><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>25th April 2024<a href=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Wroxton-College.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-3085\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/Wroxton-College.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"103\" height=\"99\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<h5>Lord North Commemorative Lecture &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fdu.edu\/campuses\/wroxton-college\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wroxton College<\/a><\/h5>\r\n<p>It is a great honour, after many years of speaking to groups of Farleigh Dickinson students here (near Banbury, Oxfordshire) and also in London, to be asked to give this year\u2019s Commemorative Lecture.<\/p>\r\n<p>I must start by saluting the memory of Lord North whose great house this was.\u00a0 He was a Member of Parliament for thirty-six years, and served like me as defence minister, then as Chancellor, Leader of the Commons and Prime Minister. His career as Prime Minister, as those of many of his successors, was marked for ever by just one event \u2013 the British defeat at Yorktown and the consequent loss of our American colonies.\u00a0 Whether or not he was to blame for Yorktown is still debated: my military friends attribute it instead to \u201cthe fourth XV playing away from home\u201d.<\/p>\r\n<p>But the loss of the colonies was thus laid firmly at North\u2019s door.\u00a0 That great historian of the Georges, Jack Plumb, was unsparing: <em>No amount of apology can explain away the most glaring fact of all \u2013 that he was an utter failure\u2026during his time as leader the fortunes of his country reached the lowest point in modern history.\u00a0 <\/em>Taking a longer view, however, we could perhaps see North as paving the way for the first Brexit over two hundred and fifty years ago.<\/p>\r\n<p>That Brexit has indeed proved stunningly successful.\u00a0 It has given us a democracy of immense strength, vibrancy and generosity.\u00a0 It has given the world a country that has led, one that has made huge sacrifices of blood and treasure to defend civilised values across the globe \u2013 freedoms of voting and speech, and the rule of law.\u00a0 Nothing else I may say this evening should be taken as lessening my profound admiration for the United States.<\/p>\r\n<p>I want to focus on the other side of that Brexit.\u00a0 From the British point of view, how stands the UK\/US relationship today?\u00a0 Is it still \u201cspecial\u201d?\u00a0 \u00a0Is it as important today to the United States as it still is to us in the United Kingdom? \u00a0Or have we steadily become less important, more of a 51<sup>st<\/sup> state, a less relevant partner, even a vassal state?<\/p>\r\n<p>Certainly the economic relationship is as close as ever.\u00a0 Perhaps inevitably two open enterprise economies, sharing historical ties, a common language and similar laws of contract and competition, were bound to do more and more business with each other.\u00a0 There are huge flows of trade and capital across the Atlantic.\u00a0 Of course, it\u2019s true that these flows are not equally balanced: the larger US corporations have done extremely well out of their British markets, and our companies have sometimes struggled against covert protectionism over there.<\/p>\r\n<p>But UK businesses currently hold over \u00a3600 billion of US assets.\u00a0 And the capital flows our way help to finance our economy, both public and private.\u00a0 The scale of our public borrowing, for example, makes us dependent on the international bon markets, \u201cthe kindness of strangers\u201d.\u00a0 With the USA we should perhaps think of it as \u201cthe kindness of friends\u201d, given the close relationship between our central banks, Treasury departments and Finance ministers.\u00a0 A better question might be to ask whither we would like these capital flows to come from?\u00a0\u00a0 Countries that are less well-disposed to us?<\/p>\r\n<p>The heart of the UK-US relationship, less visible but vital, is the defence relationship.\u00a0 We have fought two world wars side by side.\u00a0 Britain\u2019s withdrawal from empire happily coincided with America\u2019s assumption of superpower status.\u00a0 We accepted the role of principal junior partner with as much grace as we could muster.\u00a0 In the heat of the second world war, Churchill\u2019s Minister for North Africa and the Middle East, Harold MacMillan, a classicist and future Prime Minister himself, famously identified Britain as playing the part of the Greeks to America\u2019s Rome, the new world power: <em>You will find the Americans much as the Greeks founds the Romans \u2013 a great big vulgar bustling people, more vigorous than we are, with more unspoiled virtues. We must run our joint HQ here as the Greek slaves ran the operations of the Emperor Claudius. <\/em>History does not relate whether President Roosevelt relished the comparison with Claudius.<\/p>\r\n<p>Since the second world war our alliance has flourished.\u00a0\u00a0 Our forces have served side by side in almost all the post-war conflicts, excepting Vietnam and the Falklands: the Cold War, the Western Balkans, the Gulf, Afghanistan, the coalition against the Daesh.\u00a0 This very month our air forces have been flying together, defending against Houthi attacks on the Red Sea and against Iranian missiles being fired at Israel.<\/p>\r\n<p>We have special agreements, much envied elsewhere in Europe, on intelligence sharing, and our security agencies work closely together.\u00a0 We share membership of key groupings \u2013 Five Eyes, P5 at the United Nations, the G7, and we sit, alphabetically, side by side in NATO.\u00a0 Beyond that we share the Trident nuclear missile system; though our twin deterrents are under independent control, you cannot get closer to an ally than sharing a common missile compartment on nuclear ballistic submarines.<\/p>\r\n<p>Is this very closest of \u00a0relationships weakening?\u00a0 Yes, there are genuine US concerns about NATO\u2019s spending on defence.\u00a0 These go far back: it was President Obama, not Trump, who led the commitment to 2 per cent of GDP at NATO\u2019s Wales summit in 2014.\u00a0 There was direct pressure on us, indeed on me, to meet that minimum 2 per cent commitment which we did in 2015.\u00a0\u00a0 And, yes, there have been concerns amongst the US military about the power and punch of UK forces.\u00a0 They\u2019ve seen a shrinking army, less able to support or backfill for the US.\u00a0 Against that, there\u2019s US respects for our nuclear deterrent, our special forces and our two carriers.\u00a0 What I can confirm is the closeness: with all three of the US Defence Secretaries with whom I worked \u2013 Chuck Hagel, Ash Carter, Jim Mattis \u2013 there was continuous co-operation and consultation, especially in the campaigns in Afghanistan, Syria and Iraq.<\/p>\r\n<p>Is the relationship under pressure from a further bout of isolationism in the United States?\u00a0\u00a0 Are we right to be concerned that America\u2019s traditional attention to the rest of the world and acceptance of leadership and responsibility may now be slipping?\u00a0\u00a0 There is nothing new here.\u00a0 There has always been a healthy degree of scepticism about getting involved in other people\u2019s wars.\u00a0 When Henry Ford famously said: history is bunk, it\u2019s often forgotten that he was in the middle of a debate in 1917 about whether the United States should enter the first world war, and the historical case for defending the mother democracies of western Europe against the Kaiser\u2019s Germany.<\/p>\r\n<p>Nevertheless, in Washington earlier this month, I heard at first hand complaints about \u201cforever wars\u201d and the unequal burden being shared between the USA and its allies.\u00a0 I would suggest to you that the roots of this malaise lie deeper still. \u00a0First, there have been serious setbacks for the West. We failed to implant those priceless seeds of democracy into Libya, Syria and Afghanistan. \u00a0Freedom House\u2019s annual surveys show that the number of fully-fledged democracies is now declining. Forty of the two hundred United Nations refuse to condemn Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine, even two years on.\u00a0 The fall of Kabul was a defeat for NATO as much as for the USA.<\/p>\r\n<p>Second, the United States is not immune to the process of internal fragmentation convulsing western democracies.\u00a0 Economic grievances fostered by globalisation, cultural change driving identity issues of race, gender and class, and demographic pressures from large-scale immigration and its effect on public policy choices have all combined to shake our institutions.<\/p>\r\n<p>A third pressure is geographic: the explosion of growth across the Indo-Pacific and the growing assertiveness of China.\u00a0 From Europe we\u2019ve seen the pivot to the Pacific begun by President Obama, perhaps the first Pacific President. \u00a0That\u2019s led to concern that the United States may be less willing to shoulder its NATO burden in the Euro-Atlantic.\u00a0 \u00a0Whether President Trump returns to the White House this November, it\u2019s important to note that these concerns are two-way.\u00a0 Just as European worry about the American response if a NATO country is attacked by Russia, so US policy-makers worry whether European countries rally would support the continuing independence of Taiwan or would pay the likely economic cost of sanctions against China if China invaded.<\/p>\r\n<p>I want to make just two points to you this evening.\u00a0 First, that these two theatres \u00a0\u2013 Euro-Atlantic and Indo-Pacific \u2013 are connected; and second, that there\u2019s plenty for all of us to be doing more to tackle them.<\/p>\r\n<p>Already we can see the current conflicts becoming intertwined.\u00a0 Hamas leaders are received in Moscow.\u00a0 North Korea supplies shells for use in Ukraine. Iranian missiles are fired by Houthis at European shipping in the Red Sea. \u00a0Our key trade routes, our cable connections, our flight patterns are all vulnerable to disruption.\u00a0\u00a0 The relationship between Russia and China may not be a formal alliance but it is a growing entente, underpinned by bilateral energy and trade deals.\u00a0 If you add in North Korea and Iran, you have a formidable quartet of countries that wish us harm, and that are doing us harm, on the European mainland, in the Middle East and in the Pacific. \u00a0And if China comes to blows with the United States in the Pacific, it\u2019s all too easy to see Russia seizing the moment to increase pressure in the Euro-Atlantic theatre \u2013 by attacking our cables, invading another Black Sea country, or further destabilising the western Balkans,<\/p>\r\n<p>So the United States has every self-interest in the Pacific in helping to ensure that Putin does not win in the Ukraine. Another Western defeat, following on from Kabul, would show Putin that the West fundamentally lacks staying power.<\/p>\r\n<p>It would signal to China that if we are unable properly to defend Donetsk and Luhansk we are less likely to deliver aid to Taiwan or to resist further nationalisation of the South China Sea.\u00a0 So I am confident that the United States will continue its commitment to the western alliance, and I urge my Republican friends to re-read President Trump\u2019s 2017 speech in Warsaw and reflect on his endorsement of the principles and strength of the NATO alliance.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Europeans, meanwhile, have plenty to do.\u00a0 For our part Britain has already committed to the Indo-Pacific by means of what we call a tilt. To begin with, this was essentially flag-waving: I sent RAF Typhoons through the South China Sea in 2016; one of our aircraft carriers has deployed there and will return next year; we now have two offshore patrol vessels permanently based out there.\u00a0 But beyond these rather transient deployments are the long-term capability partnerships that we are developing across the region.<\/p>\r\n<p>AUKUS is the agreement between Australia, Britain and the United States to co-operate on the next generation of nuclear-powered submarines.\u00a0 These will extend the reach and lethality of the Australian Navy across the Pacific, and further tie our defence companies into building a common platform.\u00a0 British and US submarines will deploy to Australia to fill the gap before the new boats are commissioned.<\/p>\r\n<p>GCAP is the joint programme between Britain, Japan and Italy to develop the next generation fighter aircraft.\u00a0 This will provide Japan with the modern capability it needs to defend its interests in the northern Pacific, and will further tie two European countries into the defence of the region. \u00a0\u00a0Finally, Pillar Two of AUKUS links its principal partners into the development of the defences of the future \u2013 electronic warfare, robotics, deep space radar and hypersonics.\u00a0 This will keep the high technology advantage in the hands of the democracies.\u00a0 Already being discussed is how this Pillar Two work may be opened up to like-minded allies such as Japan and South Korea.<\/p>\r\n<p>Britain is also well-placed to encourage the major European nations to carry more of the advanced technological burden in the Euro-Atlantic.\u00a0 For too long we have had to depend on the United States for capabilities such as surveillance and air-to-air refuelling.\u00a0 Through closer co-operation and central European funding these are exactly the sort of large-scale multinational development programmes to which we in Europe should now commit.\u00a0 That will mean the UK looking to partner with existing EU organisations such as the European Defence Agency.<\/p>\r\n<p>Alongside that, we have to increase our defence spending.\u00a0 The United States has five times Britain\u2019s population but spends twenty times as much on defence, including on defending us.\u00a0 NATO members committed back in 2014 to spending 2 per cent of their GDP on defence, and we gave ourselves ten years to get there.\u00a0 So far only 11 out of 31 countries meet the target, all of them except the US and the UK with capitals east of Berlin.\u00a0 Britain has now committed to reach 2.5 per cent, and this should be agreed as the new target for every NATO member at this summer\u2019s Washington NATO summit.<\/p>\r\n<p>Finally, there is a leadership role here for Britain.\u00a0 We need to fret less about the precise weighting of our relationship with the United States and cease worrying about each changing of the guard in the White House.\u00a0 Looking harder in the mirror should enable us to see beyond nostalgia.\u00a0 Britain is still the fifth or sixth strongest military power in the world.\u00a0 We don\u2019t have to accept third-tier status like Norway or Turkey, nor need we resign ourselves to be a bit-part player.\u00a0 With the right ambition and a proper scale of funding we can play our part alongside the United States in reinforcing the international rules-based order, in championing democratic values and in coming to the defence of the free.<\/p>\r\n<p>Let me sum up.\u00a0 This between our two countries is an extraordinary relationship.\u00a0 It transcends issues of history and seniority.\u00a0 It has been built on enduring common values \u2013 freedom of thought and of expression. The power to choose and then to turn out governments, the rule of law through independent courts, and a strong sense of responsibility to those poorer than ourselves or under attack.\u00a0 The threats that we are facing are increasing every year.\u00a0 So we need to recommit to those values and to redouble our determination to defend them.<\/p>\r\n<p>Fresh in my mind, because I caught that wonderful show in New York the other weekend, is Alexander Hamilton\u2019s challenge to Aaron Burr: <em>If you stand for nothing, Burr, what will you fall for?<\/em><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>24th April 2024<\/p>\r\n<h5 style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>Council on Geostrategy<\/strong><\/h5>\r\n<h5>Podcast:<br \/><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.geostrategy.org.uk\/podcasts\/british-defence-in-2024-investing-in-sovereign-capabilities-and-collaboration\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">British defence in 2024: Investing in sovereign capabilities and collaboration<\/a><\/h5>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>22nd April 2024<\/p>\r\n<h5>Podcast:<\/h5>\r\n<p><blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"xHyBWJ1z3n\"><a href=\"https:\/\/policyexchange.org.uk\/events\/war-among-the-people-past-present-and-future\/\">War Among the People: Past, Present and Future<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;War Among the People: Past, Present and Future&#8221; &#8212; Policy Exchange\" src=\"https:\/\/policyexchange.org.uk\/events\/war-among-the-people-past-present-and-future\/embed\/#?secret=CzLqG44Ql8#?secret=xHyBWJ1z3n\" data-secret=\"xHyBWJ1z3n\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>22nd April 2024<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/reaction.life\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/reaction-logo.svg\" alt=\"REACTION\" width=\"142\" height=\"27\" \/><\/p>\r\n<h5><strong>NATO nations must start spending three per cent of GDP on defence<\/strong><\/h5>\r\n<p>We were wrong about\u00a0Russia.\u00a0 We wanted to believe that\u00a0Putinwas different, that he would lead Russia into the international order.\u00a0 For a dozen years at the start of this century Angela Merkel, Nicolas Sarkozy and the rest of us courted him at the G8.\u00a0 European leaders rushed to Moscow to sign trade and energy deals; Russian money was welcome in our capitals.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>He responded by breaking international treaties \u2013 agreements on arms control, troop movements and mutual inspections.\u00a0 He then invaded\u00a0Georgia in 2008. We thought a slap on the wrist enough: his forces are still there today. In\u00a02014 he invaded Crimea: we applied very limited sanctions, carefully excluding oil and gas; we refused to give Ukraine the weapons it desperately needed to repel Russian forces in the Donbas; and NATO adopted a light ten-year target to increase defence spending to just 2 per cent of GDP.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Unsurprisingly, none of that deterred him or helped to defend Ukraine.\u00a0 In 2022 he invaded the whole country.\u00a0 A fresh round of\u00a0sanctions\u00a0has failed to make him re-think. In fact Russia\u2019s economy will grow twice as fast as ours this year. Its factories are now militarised and thousands of Russian troops are now pushing back Ukraine\u2019s defences. Putin has doubled down again; certain he has little to fear from the western democracies.<\/p>\r\n<p>Appeasement always costs lives, this time thousands of brave Ukrainian lives.<\/p>\r\n<p>It will also cost us more, much more in the long run, in higher energy and food costs, and in the price of reconstructing Ukraine when the war ends.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>The West needs to wake up. That 2 per cent\u00a0NATOtarget expires this year: only a dozen of NATO\u2019s thirty members meet it.\u00a0 Britain did so on my watch in 2016.\u00a0 Half the Alliance, however, mainly the wealthier half, doesn\u2019t even spend 1.5 per cent.\u00a0 It\u2019s the allies on the front line who have found the money to spend on defence \u2013 the Baltic States, Romania, Poland and Finland. That 2 per cent target, by the way, was nothing to do with Trump: it was set by Obama at the Cardiff summit in 2014.\u00a0 Successive US Presidents, Republicans and Democrats, have complained loudly that their taxpayers are bailing out the Europeans.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>European politicians plead with Congress to release more funds for Ukraine, and it looks now as though more US aid is on the way.\u00a0 But we could be doing so much more ourselves: President Zelensky needs shells, planes and better air defence.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>NATO members\u00a0are clinging onto their own inventories.\u00a0 The EU promised to spend two billion euros on shells that are still yet to arrive.\u00a0 Too many Western capitals aren\u2019t engaged at all while democracies further away can see the danger. Japanese forces exercised with NATO troops last summer, the Australian Navy helps patrol international shipping lanes in the Gulf.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>If the war stops tomorrow, Putin wins.\u00a0 He now has almost 20 per cent of Ukraine: he can, and will, come back again for the rest.\u00a0 But, as Poland\u2019s President Duda warned at last year\u2019s London Defence Conference, he also has other pieces of the former Soviet Union in his sights.\u00a0Transnistria, legally part of Moldova, has already asked for Russian \u201cassistance\u201d.\u00a0 Putin is constructing a naval base in Georgia: how long before that country is invaded again? Russian pressure mounts on Serbia too, after Moscow\u2019s attempted coup in Montenegro. The Baltic States and the Kaliningrad corridor are always on his list.<\/p>\r\n<p>For the West now this is an issue of political will.\u00a0 Putin has so far correctly calculated that, though our leaders claim to champion democracy and the rule of law, our heart isn\u2019t really in it. We\u2019ve signed treaty after treaty but failed to enforce them.<\/p>\r\n<p>Indeed, the United Kingdom was a principal signatory to the Budapest agreement of 2008, specifically guaranteeing Ukraine\u2019s borders.\u00a0 We\u2019ve taken too long to bring candidate countries such as Ukraine and Moldova inside the NATO security umbrella.\u00a0 Above all, Europe is not sufficiently united.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>The Council on Geostrategy \u2013 a member of the LDC partnership network \u2013 wants this year\u2019s\u00a0London Defence Conference\u00a0to urge NATO\u2019s Washington summit in July to set a new, tougher defence target \u2013 3 per cent for everybody by 2030.<\/p>\r\n<p>At home, we should press every candidate for every party in the general election to endorse a 2.5 per cent minimum defence budget in each year of the new Parliament, rising to a new NATO 3 per cent target at the end of it.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Of course there are other spending priorities.\u00a0 On health, pensions and infrastructure we all want to see more done.\u00a0 We certainly want to see defence funding spent better and more quickly on things that really make a difference, on proper air defence, a bigger navy, and a higher tech army.\u00a0 But defence is no longer just another spending choice. Without effective security that keeps our people safe, in the end nothing else that government does matters.<\/p>\r\n<p><em>Sir Michael Fallon is a former Secretary of State for Defence and a member of the advisory board of the Council on Geostrategy.<\/em><\/p>\r\n<p>Read online <a href=\"https:\/\/reaction.life\/nato-nations-should-be-spending-more-on-defence\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>28th October 2023\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 Daily Express<\/p>\r\n<h5>We must blame Hamas for the start of all this horror<br \/><br \/><em>The real responsibility for thousands of deaths lies with Hamas<\/em><\/h5>\r\n<p>Exactly 60 years ago this month the world held its breath as the Cuban missile crisis took us to the brink of nuclear war. By the end of a terrifying week wiser heads prevailed and the Russians pulled their ships back.<\/p>\r\n<p>Today we watch again as the Middle East explodes into war. And it is a war, already involving not just\u00a0Israel\u00a0and Hamas, but now Hezbollah missile attacks from Lebanon and US air strikes against Iranian proxies in Syria.<\/p>\r\n<p>In fact we now have two terrible wars \u2013 one in the Middle East and the other on our own continent in\u00a0Ukraine. Both threaten our security here in Britain and each will have long-term consequences for our standard of living. Most alarming of all, these wars are starting to merge: they\u2019re throwing up new, very dangerous alliances.<\/p>\r\n<p>President Putin welcomes Hamas leaders to Moscow; Prime Minister Orban of Hungary, a Nato and EU member, flies to Beijing to pander to President Xi.<\/p>\r\n<p>The international machinery \u2013 United Nations, G7, G20 \u2013 on which we have relied is breaking down, with no clear response, and little hard thinking about how we in the West should respond.<\/p>\r\n<p>Here Prime Minister\u00a0Rishi Sunak\u00a0has been admirably firm about\u00a0Israel\u2019s undisputed right to respond to the October 7 attacks.<\/p>\r\n<p>Nobody can doubt where the real responsibility lies for the thousands of deaths that have followed: it lies with the Hamas terrorists who began the slaughter.<\/p>\r\n<p>It is Hamas\u2019s responsibility too, in starting a conflict that would inevitably invite retaliation, to protect its own citizens in Gaza. In fact Hamas does the opposite, turning civilian buildings into military targets, slowing evacuations and failing to provide its people with proper shelters.<\/p>\r\n<p>Like other countries Britain is involved: we have hostages and our nationals trapped in Gaza. We need to be working alongside our allies to get them out.<\/p>\r\n<p>Beyond that, it is not too early to consider the future.<\/p>\r\n<p>What kind of space can be safely kept for Gaza\u2019s citizens that won\u2019t be used to keep threatening\u00a0Israel\u2019s very existence?<\/p>\r\n<p>How do we persuade the Arab nations to step up and underwrite a more secure existence that can give all Palestinians the prospect of a better economic future?<\/p>\r\n<p>Before the Hamas attacks, we were already seeing some promising diplomacy between\u00a0Israel\u00a0and its neighbours. And we should encourage similar fresh thinking on the Palestinian side, too.<\/p>\r\n<p>Second, behind almost every recent conflict in the region is Iran, a country officially dedicated to promoting Islamist revolution.<\/p>\r\n<p>It is Iran that fuelled the terrible war in Yemen, that funded Houthi missile attacks on Saudi Arabia, that finances the Hezbollah terrorists\u2019 grip on Lebanon, and that attacks Western shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. The same Iran that is already breaking its promise not to develop nuclear weaponry.<\/p>\r\n<p>Here the government has identified more than a dozen credible threats over recent months to kill or kidnap people in the UK, both UK citizens and UK-based Iranians.<\/p>\r\n<p>Yet, unlike the US, the UK has still not proscribed Iran\u2019s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the force behind its terrorist activities across the region, including attacks on British troops.<\/p>\r\n<p>The current sanctions are simply too weak to deter IRGC terrorism.<\/p>\r\n<p>Third, Britain has vital interests at stake. The Gulf is where we get the oil and gas on which our economy depends. Our key exports flow through its shipping lanes. Vital subsea cables link our telecoms and financial markets.<\/p>\r\n<p>Allies in the region share critical intelligence with us about terrorist threats to our cities. So we, too, need to step up. We should beef up our naval presence in the Gulf and in the eastern Mediterranean. And flying ministers in and out isn\u2019t enough.<\/p>\r\n<p>Despite his many faults,\u00a0Boris Johnson\u00a0led the world in supporting\u00a0Ukraine\u00a0in its hour of need.<\/p>\r\n<p>I\u2019d like to see a senior minister sent out now to the Middle East, and staying there to work across the region, not just with\u00a0Israel\u00a0but with all our Arab allies.<\/p>\r\n<p>This appalling conflict has already escalated dangerously. The terrorism and instability that it has unleashed will affect us all.<\/p>\r\n<p>Read online <a href=\"https:\/\/www.express.co.uk\/comment\/expresscomment\/1829082\/hamas-israel-palestine-deaths-responsibility?utm_source=mynewsassistant.com&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=embedded_search_item_desktop\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p data-test=\"headline\">______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\" data-test=\"headline\">19th July 2023<strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-2890 alignright\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"321\" height=\"47\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg 328w, https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph-300x44.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 321px) 85vw, 321px\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\r\n<h5 class=\"e-headline u-heading-1 article-comment__header \" data-test=\"headline\">We\u2019re ignoring the real lessons from Ukraine<br \/><br \/><em>Slashing the size of the Army has left Great Britain with little capacity to plan for the unexpected<\/em><\/h5>\r\n<p>How big an army do we need? Are we buying the right amount of high-tech kit? Similar issues have confronted every defence secretary \u2013 but today, as we reckon with\u00a0war in Europe, there is one overriding question: what does the current war in Ukraine tell us that might reshape our military for our next conflict? This week\u2019s Defence Command Paper should have been the moment to provide real answers.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Surely, the first lesson of Ukraine is that size matters. A country with an international role \u2013 in Nato, at the UN, and in partnership with the United States and key strategic allies across the globe \u2013 needs armed forces to match. When friends call for help, we have to be there to defend their freedoms and our values \u2013 and to be able to deliver that, an army of just over 70,000 is too small. Kyiv\u2019s formidable forces have shown the power of having the numbers ready to fight.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Ben Wallace is right, of course, that a larger army would require a\u00a0bigger defence budget. We\u2019re spending just over the Nato minimum, at 2.1 per cent of GDP. But Russia was spending a higher proportion of its GDP in the run up to the invasion and even that hasn\u2019t proved enough for them. Meanwhile, China is developing a third aircraft carrier, nuclear ballistic submarines and a massive surface fleet.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>If you still think 2.1 per cent is enough, consider this: at the turn of this century, before 9\/11 and international terrorism, before Russia invaded Crimea, before Iran and North Korea developed long-range missiles, before China openly threatened Taiwan, we were spending 2.7 per cent.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>The Prime Minister and Chancellor have talked of a\u00a0new target of 2.5 per cent\u00a0but, despite all encouragement, this is still just talk. Without a firm glide-path towards it, the need to plan and pay for new and expensive weaponry means that the Army in particular will continue to shrink. Whitehall jargon about \u201cdraping capabilities across platforms\u201d and \u201cit\u2019s all about the effect you deliver\u201d is no substitute for hard numbers of well trained and deployable troops.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>The second lesson of Ukraine is that you must plan for the unexpected. In my first few months as defence secretary, we had to organise our new Nato deployment of hundreds of troops to Estonia; we had to send men to join a huge allied training programme to help rebuild the Iraqi forces struggling against Daesh; we started to plan British Army training of the Ukrainian army resisting the original Russian advance into the Donbas back in 2014.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>In the midst of all this, we suddenly had to dispatch 700 troops and helicopters to tackle the deadly outbreak of Ebola in Sierra Leone. And all of it came on top of existing commitments in Northern Ireland, in Cyprus, in different trouble spots in Africa and across the Middle East, and alongside domestic preparedness here to help with floods, tanker driver and ambulance disputes, and backing up armed police guarding against key terrorist targets.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>The next defence secretary may have to be ready to send hundreds more troops to reinforce Nato\u2019s eastern frontier, to defend British interests in the Gulf, to stand by allies under threat in the Indo-Pacific. You simply can\u2019t honour all these commitments with small packets of soldiers, endlessly rotated.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>The third lesson is perhaps the most important of all. Ukraine mobilised extraordinarily quickly to combat the Russian invasion. It has been a whole of nation effort, involving not just regulars and reserves but civilians, too. It is a war of technology, to be sure, involving drones and long-range missiles, but it is also a war of territory. And defending territory means holding and recapturing ground. That requires infantry supported by armour and artillery. Even with earlier and better air support from the allies, this would still have been a ground war fought by soldiers.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Ukraine, like Russia, has thrown thousands of men into this fight. If Nato\u2019s north-eastern border is breached, if Russia again threatens Georgia and Moldova or the western Balkans, we would have to mobilise here in numbers, too. These are, as the Defence Secretary acknowledges, very dangerous times. Far from cutting Army numbers, we should be increasing them, and supplementing them with stronger reserves.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Read online <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2023\/07\/18\/were-ignoring-the-real-lessons-from-ukraine\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>21st May 2023<a href=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-2890\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"328\" height=\"48\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg 328w, https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph-300x44.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 328px) 85vw, 328px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<h5><strong>The EU owes Ukraine an apology<br \/><br \/><\/strong><em>The bloc has been shockingly slow to mobilise its resources to help President Zelensky<\/em><\/h5>\r\n\r\n<p>\u201cI need ammunition, not a ride\u201d replied President Zelensky to the American offer to evacuate him as the Russians invaded. He still does. His forces are being out-shelled three-to-one every day. He has been touring Europe\u2019s capitals and the G7 over a year later, with the same desperate requests for more ammunition\u00a0alongside new drones and missiles. Why? Week after week military support from the West seems to have been drip-fed \u00a0\u2013 first, some shells, then missiles, then more powerful missiles, then some armoured vehicles, then handfuls of tanks, and now possibly some fighter jets.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>That\u00a0Ukraine isn\u2019t a member of Nato\u00a0isn\u2019t relevant. Any country has the right both to defend itself and to ask its friends for help. Some have stepped up promptly \u2013 with the US, ourselves and Poland leading the way. But why has the rest of Europe been so slow? \u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Last Sunday, President von der Leyen told the Charlemagne prize-giving that \u201cUkraine\u2019s forces are also fighting for our freedom and our values\u201d.\u00a0Yet the EU\u2019s response has been shocking. A couple of weeks ago, member states finally approved what it laughably called a \u201cfast-track\u201d scheme to purchase and supply ammunition to Ukraine by 1 October, 19 months after the invasion. They\u2019re still arguing about whether procurement should be handled via the European Defence Agency or by individual countries; some even want purchasing restricted to EU suppliers. \u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>The defence firms are ready to step up. They need a more flexible pipeline of orders that can be accelerated or decelerated\u00a0to match Ukraine\u2019s demands. The allies should be pooling orders, encouraging purchasing by smaller consortia, and sharing information about forward requirements to incentivise investment in new production. We should also change the narrative around inventories. Ample levels of unused stocks are not profligate: like our nuclear submarines they are part of deterrence, in use every day.<\/p>\r\n<p>And the City of London can do more. Defence companies should not be shunned by investment advisers in terms of ESG compliance: keeping us all safe is a prerequisite to keeping us green or diverse. Defence equipment also needs a more sophisticated market: it shouldn\u2019t be impossible to devise forward purchasing arrangements along the lines we have developed for investment in new energy.<\/p>\r\n<p>Nato, too, should do better. The alliance has common procurement machinery but simply isn\u2019t using it. The forthcoming summit in Vilnius should review the commitment at the Wales summit in 2014 to spend a minimum of 2 per cent of GDP on defence by next year. Only seven of 30 members do so; worse still, 12 of the rest, by no means the poorest, don\u2019t even spend 1.5 per cent.<\/p>\r\n<p>A minimum of 2.5 per cent should be the new target. Here in the UK we spend under 2.2 per cent. Our ambition, not even a \u201ctarget\u201d, is to reach 2.5 per cent by 2030. But at the start of this century, we were spending 2.7 per cent. In the long run weakness in defence isn\u2019t just risky: it\u2019s expensive. Putin wasn\u2019t deterred from invading Ukraine. So what the West\u00a0failed to spend on defence, we now spend on energy subsidies, on housing refugees, and coping with slower growth. When the war ends, we will have to spend more again on the reconstruction of Ukraine.<\/p>\r\n<p>This is our war, too. If Putin wins in Ukraine, no democracy is safe: he can go on to win in Moldova and Georgia, and threaten the Baltic states. He badly underestimated Ukrainian resistance and courage. But he may not be underestimating the political will of the West. Nine years in which only seven countries meet the Nato defence spending target? Nineteen months for the EU just to organise an ammunition tender? Every day of those 19 months Ukrainian soldiers have been fighting and dying. Zelensky deserves an apology as much as the Charlemagne prize.<\/p>\r\n<p>Read online <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2023\/05\/21\/the-eu-owes-ukraine-an-apology\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>9th February 2023<a href=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-2890\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"328\" height=\"48\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg 328w, https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph-300x44.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 328px) 85vw, 328px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<h5><strong>Nato shouldn\u2019t fear calling Vladimir Putin\u2019s nuclear bluff<br \/><br \/><\/strong><em><strong>We&#8217;ve heard the naysayers before, warning us against helping Ukraine over and over again. They&#8217;re still wrong<\/strong><\/em><\/h5>\r\n<p>Once again the naysayers are out in force. Even before President Zelensky had begun his\u00a0inspirational address\u00a0to Parliament, we were told that giving Ukraine fighter jets would bring Nato closer to war with Russia, would invite further escalation, and would likely trigger retaliation with the first use of nuclear weapons since Hiroshima.<\/p>\r\n<p>We have heard all this before \u2013 before Britain\u00a0led the way\u00a0in supplying tanks, before the allies supplied better air missile defence, before we provided the anti-tank weapons and heavy artillery that Ukraine needed from day one. (And I heard it back in 2014 when we refused those same weapons that could have stopped Putin much earlier, and began army training instead.)<\/p>\r\n<p>First, Nato isn\u2019t at war with Russia: it remains\u00a0a defensive alliance\u00a0ready to protect its members from attack. But under the UN charter any country, Nato member or not, is entitled to ask its friends for help. Second, Russia has already escalated. It is shelling civilian infrastructure \u2013 apartment blocks, hospitals, nurseries \u2013 in breach of all the rules of war. Further atrocities are being committed by its troops on the ground. Third, we have heard Putin\u2019s nuclear bluster before: each time it\u2019s turned out to be just that \u2013 bluster.<\/p>\r\n<p>Putin will in any case be very aware that any tactical use of a nuclear weapon would be strongly opposed by China, India and others. Holding nuclear weapons as a defence against an existential threat to your own country is quite different to deploying them to conquer another. Britain, the US and Russia were guarantors to the treaty by which Ukraine gave up its own nuclear weapons: for Russia to use them now would destroy the Non-Proliferation Treaty to which it is party. The implications for countries such as China, India and Iran are enormous: all are Russia\u2019s trading partners, each faces its own risk of regional conflict.<\/p>\r\n<p>Nor is it obvious that\u00a0Russia\u2019s military\u00a0is anywhere near its last resort. It can still throw thousands of fresh troops into the campaign; its factories can race the West in producing shells; it can buy in more drones from abroad. Putin can fight a long campaign this year and next, and wait for Western resolve to weaken.<\/p>\r\n<p>The nuclear threat cannot be completely ignored. Nato will want to ensure, privately if not publicly, that Putin fully\u00a0understands the consequences. And there\u2019s always some risk with such an irrational leader: we should not rule out some minor detonation (or deliberate \u201caccident\u201d). But it\u2019s equally important not to be panicked into linking any decision to supply fighter aircraft or train their pilots with the eventual resolution of this terrible conflict. While Ukrainian sovereignty remains at stake, it would be simply immoral to make our provision of weapons conditional upon any particular outcome.<\/p>\r\n<p>From the start, Zelensky has simply asked for the weapons he needs to protect his country from the invader. Slowly, and against much expectation, the West has indeed responded. Yes, that response has varied, understandably, across a democratic alliance: the more lethal weapons have often been supplied fitfully, sometimes even fearfully. But why should our fear be greater than that of the Ukrainian people?<\/p>\r\n<p>At Westminster Hall, Zelensky thanked Britain for its \u201cbravery\u201d in being the first to supply Ukraine with weapons. He noted that in the past both Britain and Ukraine had defeated \u201cthe fear of war\u201d ahead of the time to enjoy peace. Again, if Ukraine doesn\u2019t fear Russia or its weapons,\u00a0why should we?<\/p>\r\n<p>Read online <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2023\/02\/09\/nato-shouldnt-fear-calling-vladimir-putins-nuclear-bluff\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>17th November 2022<a href=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-2890\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"328\" height=\"48\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg 328w, https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph-300x44.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 328px) 85vw, 328px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<h5 class=\"e-headline u-heading-1 article-comment__header \" data-test=\"headline\">In defeat, Vladimir Putin is becoming desperate<br \/><br \/><strong><em>It is likely that in the mess of war there will be more accidents. That is why the Russians must be beaten<\/em><\/strong><\/h5>\r\n<p>Over nine terrible months, Ukraine has certainly learnt who its friends are. Britain has been steadfast, supplying training, weapons and strong political support. The United States, as always, has done the heaviest lifting of all, spending over $18\u2009billion on munitions and other military equipment.<\/p>\r\n<p>But Ukraine\u2019s truest friend is Poland. It\u2019s Poland that has taken the\u00a0bulk of Ukrainian refugees; it\u2019s the Polish economy that has taken among the biggest hits, cutting its growth rate from 4 per cent to 1.6 per cent next year; and it\u2019s Poland that has unstintingly raided its own inventories to give Ukrainian troops the weapons that they desperately need to defend their homeland.<\/p>\r\n<p>The missile that hit eastern Poland\u00a0may not have been Russian. But that doesn\u2019t change the facts. All the hostile missiles fired since February have been Russian. Contrary to the laws of war, they have been targeted against Ukraine\u2019s civilian population: residential buildings, power stations, water supplies and shopping centres have all been hit. Indiscriminate attacks like these always carry the risk of spilling the conflict into neighbouring states.<\/p>\r\n<p>But Russia is resorting to indiscriminate missile attacks precisely because it\u2019s losing the conventional war. Its initial invasion failed: Russian forces, once in the suburbs of Kyiv, had to pull back over the border to the north. In the south-east, Ukrainian troops are pushing the Russians deeper into the Donbas; the liberation of Kherson has opened the way from the Dnipro to Crimea. The campaign to restore Ukraine\u2019s sovereignty looks to be long and bloody but winnable.<\/p>\r\n<p>An unintended missile strike naturally brings\u00a0fears of escalation, especially when Nato territory is involved. But it is Russia that now must fear escalation the most. It can hardly prosecute the war it is currently fighting. The last thing it needs is for this conflict to escalate. On the contrary, we have already seen Nato rediscovering its unity of purpose and its forces stiffening their defences in Eastern Europe.<\/p>\r\n<p>Ukraine is in Poland\u2019s debt, for its immediate and extraordinarily generous response. But the rest of us owe Poland, too, not just for its open-hearted humanitarian response but for its persistent prescience in warning us against the Russian threat.<\/p>\r\n<p>Throughout my time as defence secretary, it was always Poland that understood that threat most clearly, that pushed for a firmer Western response. Nato\u2019s troop deployments in the Baltic states, in Poland itself, and its air defence in Romania, owe much to Polish leadership and pressure.<\/p>\r\n<p>And Poland should shame its Western allies into\u00a0doing more to help. Nearly eight million Ukrainians have crossed the border into Poland since February; over 20,000 more still arrive every day. They\u2019re fed, housed, and given free travel and places in school for their children. Families across Poland have opened their doors to the biggest movement of people on our continent since the Second World War.<\/p>\r\n<p>Poland will spend a staggering \u20ac8.4\u2009billion (\u00a37.3\u2009billion) on helping those Ukrainian refugees this year, yet has had a contribution of only \u20ac144\u2009million from the EU. Contrast this with the huge amounts that the EU pours into extensive refugee programmes for those fleeing North Africa and the Middle East. Indeed, the EU seems more concerned about the independence of parts of Poland\u2019s court system than the displacement of eight million Europeans. Substantial payments legally due to Poland under the seven-year EU budget and from the post-Covid recovery fund (\u20ac73\u2009billion and \u20ac35\u2009billion respectively) are being withheld at a time when Poland needs all the financial help it can get.<\/p>\r\n<p>Wealthier neighbours aren\u2019t pulling their military weight either. Poland has donated more military equipment to Ukraine than any other EU ally, and four times as much as France. Poland has supplied self-propelled gun howitzers, portable air defence systems, and dozens of its tanks; yet Germany, despite its talk, still drags its feet on supplying rocket launchers and\u00a0armoured vehicles.<\/p>\r\n<p>Over 20 years ago, Germany deployed its Leopard tanks to the defence of Kosovo, yet there\u2019s still no stomach in Berlin to lend them to the Ukrainian army fighting for its freedom. \u201cThe issue is whether we have it in us to keep warmongers like Putin in check,\u201d Chancellor Scholz told the Bundestag back in February, but those tanks, key to the recovery of further Ukrainian territory, remain in storage.<\/p>\r\n<p>Putin has\u00a0clearly become desperate. It\u2019s likely that in the mess and confusion of war that there will be more accidents. But our response should surely be all the steadier. The wider risks of this terrible war will not be mitigated by well-meaning attempts at peace-brokering. The way to prevent further accidents and escalation is to end this conflict as quickly as possible: that means doing everything we can to ensure that Ukraine wins it.<\/p>\r\n<p>Stopping Putin once and for all is the surest way of ensuring that the villages of south-eastern Poland \u2013 and the rest of us \u2013 stay safe.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Read online <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2022\/11\/17\/defeat-vladimir-putin-becoming-desperate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>5th October 2022<a href=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/?attachment_id=2890\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-2890\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2890 alignright\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"328\" height=\"48\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg 328w, https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph-300x44.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 328px) 85vw, 328px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<h5><strong><em>Siren voices in the West are wrong to think that peace is possible without Russia leaving Ukraine<\/em><\/strong><\/h5>\r\n<p>There are siren voices, there are useful idiots, and then there are car salesmen. \u201cHistory is bunk,\u201d said Henry Ford, arguing that the US should just let Germany win the First World War. Now Elon Musk, today\u2019s auto billionaire, would apparently\u00a0leave Ukraine\u2019s fate\u00a0to random polling.<\/p>\r\n<p>A bit like\u00a0<em>Strictly Come Dancing<\/em>, Musk\u2019s peace plan involves two rounds of voting: first, his 100 million Twitter followers vote on the principle, then selected populations within Ukraine can vote to accept a different national identity and join Russia. Has he forgotten the plebiscites that Hitler rigged to seize the Rhineland in 1936, then Austria in 1938? Perhaps he should poll the Czechs, too?<\/p>\r\n<p>But beyond the useful idiots are more seductive siren voices. Isn\u2019t the Ukraine war unwinnable by either side? Can Europe go on bearing the enormous cost of its financial support? Doesn\u2019t Crimea actually belong to Russia? Do we really want to risk Russia\u2019s use of even one\u00a0tactical nuclear weapon?<\/p>\r\n<p>Musk, like Ford, doesn\u2019t understand what\u2019s at stake here. Allowed to keep any of Ukraine\u2019s sovereign territory, Putin wins. That\u2019s how he won Crimea, eight years ago. And if Putin wins, no border country with a sizeable Russian-speaking population is safe.<\/p>\r\n<p>Russia mounted a savage cyber attack on Estonia in 2007; occupied Georgia in 2008 (and still holds Georgian territory today); sent troops into the Donbas in 2014; and attempted a coup in Montenegro in 2016. Today Russia controls Transnistria, properly part of Moldova, and stirs insurrection in the western Balkans. At huge cost we learnt twice in the past century that appeasement doesn\u2019t work \u2014 so, in the end, did the United States.<\/p>\r\n<p>There isn\u2019t a sustainable peace plan that doesn\u2019t involve ejecting Putin\u2019s forces from Ukraine. This isn\u2019t a conflict that can be frozen and forgotten: the\u00a0strength of the Ukrainian resistance\u00a0has already shown us that its sovereignty is inviolate. We should understand why.<\/p>\r\n<p>Suppose we forced Zelensky to accept some kind of truce, involving a partition, say, of Crimea and bits of Ukraine\u2019s south-east. Even if he agreed to it, which he certainly wouldn\u2019t, the real point is that Russia wouldn\u2019t either. As he did in 2014, Putin would pause and come back for more. Moldova, Georgia, even Latvia would be less safe.<\/p>\r\n<p>Putting pressure on Ukraine now to negotiate some kind of settlement carries another danger: it would show that the West is giving in to Putin\u2019s latest sabre-rattling, his threat to deploy tactical nuclear weapons. Those threats are indeed serious, and they need to be\u00a0handled seriously. Putin needs to be warned, privately and publicly, that the West will indeed respond to any such use. That response should include the targeting of Russia\u2019s conventional forces and its supply lines in Ukraine, including its military infrastructure.<\/p>\r\n<p>Meantime, Europe should be doing much more to help. It\u2019s extraordinary that Germany still refuses to supply the armoured vehicles and tanks that the Ukrainian army so desperately needs. They need more artillery, anti-aircraft missiles, all kinds of advanced weaponry. Every European military should re-examine its inventory and send more of what can be spared. We should look again at how we can support Ukraine\u2019s air defence. European sanctions should be tightened further. Russian oil is still getting out, re-tankered and re-labelled. Its financial system is damaged but not yet cut off from the West.<\/p>\r\n<p>Yes, there is a huge cost. We see it here already in our energy bills and in the coming\u00a0recession across the eurozone. Politicians should be clearer with their electorates that this cost will only rise. The bill is high because we didn\u2019t pay it when Ukraine first wanted help after its Maidan revolution in 2004. Even 10 years later, we didn\u2019t do enough to help modernise the Soviet-era infrastructure of eastern Ukraine, or to accelerate Ukraine\u2019s membership of the EU and Nato. If we will the end, that fragile democracies should enjoy peace and security, we have to will the means.<\/p>\r\n<p>But that bill will be even higher if we weaken now. It could lead to permanent damage to Europe\u2019s economies, a massive switch from social spending to defence budgets and even to conscription in countries that haven\u2019t known it for generations.<\/p>\r\n<p>A\u00a0desperate Putin\u00a0is testing us as never before. This is no time for faint hearts, let alone car salesmen.<\/p>\r\n<p>Read online <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2022\/10\/04\/elon-musk-acting-like-putins-useful-idiot\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>1st August 2022<a href=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-2890\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"328\" height=\"48\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg 328w, https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph-300x44.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 328px) 85vw, 328px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<h5 class=\"e-headline u-heading-1 article-comment__header \" data-test=\"headline\">Europe&#8217;s errors have given Putin an opportunity<\/h5>\r\n<h5 class=\"e-standfirst u-heading-4 \" data-test=\"standfirst\"><strong><em>The western Balkans are a tinderbox. If war returns to the region, the Kremlin won\u2019t hesitate to exploit it<\/em><\/strong><\/h5>\r\n<p>Seems to me that Serbia will be forced to begin the denazification of the Balkans.\u201d That was Sunday\u2019s ominous tweet from a Serbian government MP. While we are rightly focused on the\u00a0plight of Ukraine, we should wake up to the tinderbox that is the western Balkans. Through its Serbian proxy, Russia is once again probing European weakness. Independent countries like Kosovo and Bosnia &amp; Herzegovina (BiH) are the next front line: fragile democracies, but both of them outside Nato and the EU.<\/p>\r\n<p>Serbia, ostensibly still a candidate for EU membership, is buying Russian jets and tanks; far from imposing Western sanctions, President Vu\u010di\u0107 has just signed a three-year gas deal with Moscow. He now promotes separate institutions to \u201cprotect\u201d the Serbian minority in Kosovo. Vu\u010di\u0107, we should remember, was Milo\u0161evi\u0107\u2019s minister for information; the latest border flare-up, over number plates and ID cards, is straight out of the Milo\u0161evi\u0107 playbook. Border disputes, fanned by \u201cblack ops\u201d can all too easily spill over into wider conflict.<\/p>\r\n<p>After visiting Mariupol in 2015 as Secretary of State for Defence, I warned of the\u00a0vulnerability of eastern Ukraine. The West did\u00a0too little too late, denying Ukraine EU candidate status. Nato members refused to supply the weapons it needed for proper defence. The European Investment Bank failed to support Ukraine\u2019s left-behind regions. Russia was allowed to choke off trade in the Sea of Azov, with only minor disapproval from Brussels.<\/p>\r\n<p>In the Balkans we are making the same mistakes. Countries like Serbia were awarded \u201caccession\u201d status but with no real prospect of joining the EU any time soon: polling in Belgrade now shows public opinion moving against it. The EU gives leaders like Vu\u010di\u0107 all due respect but does nothing to help build stronger civic institutions or call out the drift away from democratic norms. The West isn\u2019t seen to defend the values it professes to espouse. State-sponsored media are being allowed to squeeze out a free press and fuller political accountability.<\/p>\r\n<p>However long it takes to have Putin\u00a0pushed back in Ukraine, we should learn those lessons. Fledgling democracies need more than a waiting-room: the EU should offer immediate interim access to its markets and to its structural funds. Candidate status would give Montenegro, Kosovo and BiH better protection. Weak judicial and legal systems need strengthening. We should increase the Nato presence there and make clear that the constitutional and territorial integrity of these countries matters to us all.<\/p>\r\n<p>Britain has a big role, too. We should lever up our diplomatic and military presence in both Kosovo and BiH. We already have in place our own former defence chief, Air Chief Marshal Sir Stuart Peach, as Special Envoy. As well as helping to tackle serious crime and security, he has a wider mission to strengthen civic society and democratic institutions: we should give him the resources he needs.<\/p>\r\n<p>Balkan wars book-ended the 20th century. Putin and Russia have not forgotten how they were humiliated by the stand-off at Pristina Airport during the last one. If Serbia chooses further escalation, it will surely have Russian support. Putin has already tried to destabilise the region: six years ago a Russian-backed coup attempted to stop Montenegro joining Nato. That was foiled but Russia has not lost interest. Win or lose in Ukraine, Putin does not want to see more countries gaining the formal protection of the West.<\/p>\r\n<p>So once again it is our Western values \u2013 free elections, open media, accountable government, independent judiciary \u2013\u00a0that are on the line. We must not make the mistake of assuming that these are only compatible with full membership of either the EU or Nato. On the contrary, we should reach out beyond our walls: making it easier and quicker for applicants to join, and to have better incentives to do so.<\/p>\r\n<p>In the past, Europe found a way to reconcile the bitterest of ethnic and religious divisions, and has successfully exported that system of democracy around the globe. Now back on our own continent we\u2019ve seen democracy under missile attack in Kyiv. Thousands were slaughtered in the last Balkan conflict. Do we really have to see missiles raining down on Sarajevo and Pristina all over again before the West steps up?\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Read online\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2022\/08\/01\/europes-failures-have-given-putin-fresh-chance\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>12 May 2022<a href=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/?attachment_id=2890\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-2890\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2890 alignright\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"328\" height=\"48\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg 328w, https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph-300x44.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 328px) 85vw, 328px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<h5>Vladimir Putin has made his biggest blunder yet<br \/><br \/><strong><em>Finland and Sweden aren\u2019t joining Nato out of fear, but because nobody can be neutral on autocratic terror<\/em><\/strong><\/h5>\r\n<p>If anybody doubted Vladimir Putin\u2019s capacity for miscalculation,\u00a0the decision of Finland to apply for Nato membership, almost certainly to be followed by Sweden, is probably his biggest blunder yet. Let\u2019s be clear what this means. Both countries want to join Nato, not because they fear any imminent Russian attack but because they believe that a strong alliance is the best guarantee of European security.<\/p>\r\n<p>They also understand that Russia and Nato cannot be equal partners. Russia has shown repeatedly that it does not respect international treaties: Putin has breached agreements on international borders, on the use of chemical and biological weapons, on the stationing of troops in Georgia and Moldova, on the development of intermediate nuclear weapons, and on the notification of military exercises. Indeed, in 1994, Russia was one of the signatories to the Budapest treaties,\u00a0guaranteeing the territorial integrity of Ukraine itself: 20 years later it invaded Crimea and started the insurrection in the Donbas.<\/p>\r\n<p>Finland and Sweden already know that Russia cannot stop them joining, nor need they fear any reprisal. If Russia\u2019s quarter of a million strong army couldn\u2019t capture Kyiv, it\u2019s hardly likely to be able to take Helsinki. Russia now faces a long attritional war in the Donbas and will find it difficult, with a cratered economy and under Western sanctions, to refit its forces properly.<\/p>\r\n<p>So, neither Finland nor Sweden should be seen as weak supplicants desperate for shelter under the Nato umbrella. Both have highly effective, well-equipped militaries that are already training and exercising with Nato forces. For five years they\u2019ve also been playing a prominent role in the Joint Expeditionary Force which Britain set up in 2014: now 10 nations strong, it was designed to accommodate both Nato and non-Nato members.<\/p>\r\n<p>These applicant countries bring something else to the Alliance: far from their 1960s image of being peace-loving, easy-going democracies, both Finland and Sweden have built their defence around national service and enhanced resilience.<\/p>\r\n<p>Finland\u2019s defence forces and its border guard have long been based on compulsory military service; the Finns came out top of a recent major Nato exercise in cyber defence. Sweden has developed a concept of Total Defence: it has re-introduced limited conscription and has regularly tested its population in national resilience exercises. Both countries have modern air forces and navies. Nato will be all the stronger for their joining, and the security of all the Baltic states will be further enhanced.<\/p>\r\n<p>What these applications for Nato membership do signal is a wider move away from neutrality, a recognition that the world is dividing along new lines. Studied neutrality in the face of autocratic terror is no longer sustainable, practically as well as morally. With Switzerland joining in with western sanctions, and the EU itself committing to supply defensive weapons to Ukraine, there may now be fresh thinking required in other capitals, such as Dublin and Vienna. Who is to police Irish airspace against Russian overflights? Or help protect Austria against a sustained cyber attack? These aren\u2019t matters that can be left to the kindness of others. Countries such as Australia, on the other side of the world, understand the need for more collective security.<\/p>\r\n<p>So Nato should accept both applications as quickly as possible: Sweden and Finland already meet all the membership criteria. But there\u2019s a bigger challenge for the Alliance in how it responds to less advanced applicants that are not yet ready for membership. It can\u2019t be right to suggest that membership might be decades away: that\u2019s what left Ukraine vulnerable to Russian aggression.<\/p>\r\n<p>This needn\u2019t involve weakening the Article 5 guarantee under which full members come to each other\u2019s defence. For Georgia, Bosnia-Herzegovina and others we should consider a stronger form of associate membership under which Nato will agree to supply the defensive weapons that they need. We should replicate the model of our Joint Expeditionary Force, and enable applicant nations to train and exercise their militaries with Nato members.<\/p>\r\n<p>Nato remains the world\u2019s most successful military alliance. It has kept us safe in western Europe for over 70 years. It is just about to become even stronger.<\/p>\r\n<p>Read online <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2022\/05\/12\/putin-has-made-biggest-blunder-yet\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>24 February 2022<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-2890 alignright\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"321\" height=\"47\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg 328w, https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph-300x44.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 321px) 85vw, 321px\" \/><\/p>\r\n<h5><strong>No, Vladimir Putin isn\u2019t triumphing over the West<br \/><br \/><\/strong><em>The Kremlin\u2019s aggression has given Nato a new lease of life, and forced Germany and others to change tack<\/em><\/h5>\r\n<p>Is Vladimir Putin really winning? He\u2019s invaded another country again. He has Europe\u2019s gas bills in his hands. Former US president\u00a0Donald Trump thinks he\u2019s a genius. A serious British commentator describes the Kremlin\u2019s strategy as \u201cbrilliantly disguised\u201d.<\/p>\r\n<p>But it\u2019s a little too easy to conclude that the allies have been outplayed. Of course, Putin will have enjoyed the political tourism to Moscow; yes, there\u2019s been some naivety, though it\u2019s surely always better to try to prevent war. But now there are no more illusions to shatter. Once again Putin has broken his word, broken Russia\u2019s own treaty commitments, and broken international law.<\/p>\r\n<p>So look more closely at the West\u2019s response. Across Europe there have been a series of impressive further commitments to the Nato alliance and, in particular, to the defence of the Baltic states and Poland. American troops have been flown across the Atlantic; hundreds more British, French and German troops are being deployed to Nato\u2019s eastern border.<\/p>\r\n<p>Nato today is in fact stronger, not weaker. Far from being \u201cbrain-dead\u201d as President Macron once called it, the alliance has surely recovered its primary purpose \u2013 the defence of Europe. All Nato members are spending much more on defence since we first agreed the 2 per cent of GDP target: 10 countries meet it already and 25 members have passed the second target of spending 20 per cent of their defence budgets on equipment.<\/p>\r\n<p>Under the military leadership of our own former defence chief, Sir Stuart Peach, Nato has modernised its military strategy and refocused on deterrence and defence. Individual members\u2019 expertise in hybrid warfare, cyber capability and information operations are better co-ordinated. Troops are moved more rapidly across internal Nato borders. Every year different Nato members share air-policing missions in the Baltic from Estonia and over the Black Sea from Romania. The Royal Navy has led a series of regular Nato ship visits into the Black Sea.<\/p>\r\n<p>And let\u2019s not forget what really worries Putin \u2013 that Nato might expand. But Nato, though a purely defensive alliance, is expanding. It now includes Montenegro and North Macedonia, leaving only three of the 10 Balkan nations outside. It has listed Georgia, Moldova, Bosnia Herzegovina and\u00a0indeed Ukraine\u00a0as \u201caspiring members\u201d. More significantly still, both Sweden and Finland are now Nato partners, regularly exercising and training together with Nato forces. In 2017, I encouraged both to sign up to the UK-led Joint Expeditionary Force, a more flexible 10-strong grouping that my successor Ben Wallace convened again this week.<\/p>\r\n<p>Secondly, Ukraine is better placed to defend itself than when Putin annexed Crimea. When I first visited seven years ago, I found a very poorly equipped and understandably demoralised military. Today, thanks to a huge international effort, in which British Army trainers have played a notable part, the Ukrainian army is a far stronger force and much better equipped. Of course, it remains outnumbered by Russian forces but nobody should be in any doubt as to the effect on Ukrainian national solidarity of Putin\u2019s bullying and subversion in Donbas.<\/p>\r\n<p>Thirdly, look at what Putin is achieving in Germany. There the new coalition government has already frozen the\u00a0Nord Stream 2 pipeline; it now has to rethink completely its future energy policy. Italy, Hungary, and others likewise now know that they have been far too dependent on supplies from Gazprom. The EU will accelerate its energy market reforms, increasing the use of dual flow pipelines and inter-connectors between member states. Far from dividing Europe, Putin may in fact be pushing it together to face up to reality.<\/p>\r\n<p>There is much more to be done. The key capitals \u2013 Berlin, London, Paris and Washington \u2013 do need better and faster security co-ordination. We will certainly need more\u00a0sanctions\u00a0and we will need to be firmer than last time in enforcing them.<\/p>\r\n<p>We should also, unlike Putin, learn from our mistakes. We welcomed the ambition of countries like Ukraine to join our Western democratic communities, Nato and the EU. We saw it as a compliment yet we didn\u2019t do much about it.<\/p>\r\n<p>But if we will the end, we must also will the means. Shamefully unsupported by European funding after the 2014 revolution, much of eastern Ukraine was left behind with Soviet-era standards of infrastructure and investment. Fragile democracies need our long-term support. Stronger defence, modern infrastructure, and a higher standard of living are the keys to their future.<\/p>\r\n<p>Russia has military might. Putin may well exercise it further in eastern Ukraine or in all of it, in defiance of international law and opinion. But the only people who can really defeat the West are ourselves. We should not make the mistake of underestimating our own strength. Unlike Putin, we have both friends and values: let\u2019s keep them close.<\/p>\r\n<p>Read online <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2022\/02\/24\/no-vladimir-putin-isnt-triumphing-west\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>_____________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n<p>11th April 2021<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"288\" height=\"45\" class=\"wp-image-2907 alignright\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Independent.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\r\n<h5><strong><em>Stability in the Middle East now depends on how serious we are about tackling climate change<br \/><br \/><\/em><\/strong><strong>Countries without regular power and sufficient water are prone to shortages, droughts and crop failures, all of which foster insurgency<\/strong><\/h5>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Beyond the terrible conflicts in Syria and\u00a0Yemen, and the continuing threat of a nuclear Iran, the Middle East is changing, and so is the west\u2019s security relationship with it.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>In the past, our predominant interests in the region were in counterterrorism and lucrative arms deals. The recent meeting between John Kerry, the US special presidential envoy for climate, and the UK\u2019s own Cop26 president, Alok Sharma,\u00a0demonstrated that the new common interest is\u00a0climate change, and especially its link to security.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>In government, I held both the\u00a0energy\u00a0and defence briefs, and the linkage became very clear to me.\u00a0 Countries without regular power and sufficient water were prone to shortages, droughts and crop failures that fostered instability and insurgency: man-made climate change was itself becoming a key driver of that instability.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>The UK\u2019s 2015 strategic defence review, which I oversaw, recognised this as a new and growing threat; last month\u2019s integrated review promised sustained international cooperation to accelerate progress towards net-zero emissions and build global climate resilience.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Richer countries are affected, too. Stable security partners such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, both heavily dependent on hydrocarbon revenues,\u00a0are now moving fast\u00a0to develop projects that tackle climate change and help switch to more renewable sources of energy. This isn\u2019t selflessness: they need new skilled, high-tech industries that can provide quality jobs for their young populations.\u00a0Secure jobs and new modern industries will help safeguard the security partnerships on which the west relies.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>My counterparts in the Obama administration, right up to the president himself, were very alive to the impact of climate change on the stability of the Middle East.\u00a0President Obama directed his security agencies to consider the effect of a warming planet on all future doctrines, plans and strategies.\u00a0After the hiatus of the Trump years, the Biden administration has now picked this up again. Holding a last-minute round table of this nature, in a nation considered one of America\u2019s strongest security partners, is a subtle nod to the enhanced role that energy and climate will play in America\u2019s future security agenda.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>John Kerry was in the United Arab Emirates earlier this month, co-chairing a climate-change round table of Gulf nations.\u00a0That underlined America\u2019s future agenda. And its partners in the region are responding proactively.\u00a0The UAE already has one of the region\u2019s most ambitious emissions reduction plans: a cut of 23 per cent by 2030.\u00a0Five years ago, they might have laid on a military inspection for John Kerry. This time, Dr Sultan al Jaber, his UAE counterpart,\u00a0took him around\u00a0the world\u2019s largest solar park, Noor Abu Dhabi.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Across the region, other oil-dominated economies are following suit.\u00a0Investment in solar panels and in other renewables is becoming as important as in military hardware. Countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE will be leading participants in this winter\u2019s climate change conference in Glasgow.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>The US has always been committed to the stability of the Middle East. Of course,\u00a0the new nuclear talks with Iran in Vienna\u00a0are important. But it is striking that the first formal engagement of senior officials of the Biden administration in the Middle East wasn\u2019t about hard power at all. It shows how, for Joe Biden and Kerry and their teams, climate change and regional security are now two sides of the same coin.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Read online <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/climate-change\/opinion\/security-energy-climate-change-middle-east-b1828582.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"here (opens in a new tab)\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>____________________________________________<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\r\n<figure class=\"alignright is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-2901\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/The-Sun-2-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"175\" height=\"57\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/The-Sun-2-1.jpg 310w, https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/The-Sun-2-1-300x98.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 175px) 85vw, 175px\" \/><\/figure>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>10th April 2021<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><br \/>Prince Philip was a refreshingly down to earth man who just got on with it<br \/><br \/><em><strong>\u201cOne must wait until evening to see how splendid the day has been.\u201d<\/strong><\/em><\/h5>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Though he wasn\u2019t actually Greek, Prince Philip would perhaps have appreciated the relevance of that ancient philosophical saying to his extra-ordinary life.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>The light has gone out on a remarkable man: Royal husband, decorated Naval officer, great-grandfather. But there is one phrase you won\u2019t read in the many tributes to Prince Philip and that\u2019s \u201cGrand Old Duke\u201d.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>The Duke of Edinburgh\u00a0wasn\u2019t grand in any sense at all. On the contrary, he was refreshingly down to earth, hating fuss, often mocking over-elaborate protocol.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Every few months at the Ministry of Defence we had to review the military plans for his funeral, making sure we had contingents from each of the three services ready and trained to play their part in the procession.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>I was struck just how slimmed down, at his own request, that funeral was going to be, with a Land Rover for a hearse. Thanks to Covid, it will be even simpler.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>The Navy teaches you to be simple and straightforward; life at sea has little time for frippery. The response to any over-complicated request will be \u201cmake it so\u201d. You \u201cget on with it\u201d.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>And that\u2019s what Prince Philip \u2014 deprived of a normal childhood, sent off to join the Royal Navy as a teenager, pitched into World War Two, thrown unexpectedly early into royal life \u2014 did above all else. He just got on with it.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>He understood one thing from the start, something that still eludes some high-ups today, that it wasn\u2019t all about him. Instead, it was about his wife, his Queen and his adopted country.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>And what a selfless life he gave us. More than 20,000 public engagements, more than 850 organisations supported by his patronage and interest, a retirement delayed 30 years beyond the norm.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Too often we see royal engagements as just a photocall.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>But behind the photo there was the Duke, walking 20,000 times into a room full of complete strangers, most of them extremely nervous, and having to break the ice with them.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>The true mark of a gentleman is putting people at ease and Prince Philip, with a deft remark or jest, could do that at once. Of course, on occasion he spoke his mind, and we loved him for that.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>He told me once how he had to spend VE Day not with the cheering crowds in London but in the Orkneys, with the Fleet at Scapa Flow. \u201cBloody awful place,\u201d he added.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>I always thought him at his most relaxed when surrounded by servicemen and women. He properly understood the value and ethics of military service, and he translated those successfully into his own\u00a0Duke of Edinburgh\u2019s Award scheme.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>But he was so much more than just an ex-military type. His was an inquiring mind.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>He was interested in everything \u2014 science, design, engineering, religion, evolution, even UFOs. He championed sport, playing fields, inter-faith dialogue.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>And he was a very early environmentalist. Forty years ago I heard him stun an after-dinner audience of corporate types with his blunt warning about the future of our planet\u2019s wildlife.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>His was a life that cannot be repeated.\u00a0Prince Philip\u2019s extra-ordinary combination of European parentage, war service, promising Naval career, royal husband and 73-year marriage is also unique.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>As Shakespeare put it of the life and death of another royal: \u201cWe that are young shall never see so much, nor live so long.\u201d<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>For your selfless service to our\u00a0Queen\u00a0and to our country: Thank you, Sir.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Read online<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thesun.co.uk\/news\/14610813\/prince-philip-refreshingly-down-to-earth-michael-fallon\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\" here (opens in a new tab)\"> here<\/a><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\r\n<figure class=\"alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"83\" class=\"wp-image-2882\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-National-e1615891444166.png\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>14th March 2021<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Global Britain: Michael Fallon says &#8216;door wide open&#8217; for UK to define ambitions<\/strong><\/h5>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Former defence minister calls for an ambitious strategic defence review. Read in full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thenationalnews.com\/world\/europe\/global-britain-michael-fallon-says-door-wide-open-for-uk-to-define-ambitions-1.1183088\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"here (opens in a new tab)\">here<\/a><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>____________________________________________<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\r\n<figure class=\"alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"328\" height=\"48\" class=\"wp-image-2890\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph.jpg 328w, https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-Daily-Telegraph-300x44.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 328px) 85vw, 328px\" \/><\/figure>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>8th March 2021<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Britain doesn&#8217;t need to be a second-rate power<\/h5>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>The upcoming Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy is an opportunity to fashion Britain\u2019s place in the world post-Brexit and post-Covid. It\u2019s also the chance to answer Sir John Major\u2019s question as to whether we should resign ourselves to<a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/newstopics\/eureferendum\/12059695\/Whatever-Sir-John-Major-says-do-the-opposite.html\">\u00a0<\/a>being a good but second-rate power.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>As with the last strategic review in 2015, we should be clear about the threats we face. Russia has killed in one of our cathedral cities. China steals our technology and undermines the rule of law that we jointly bequeathed to Hong Kong. Iran sponsors terrorist attacks across the Middle East and in Europe. North Korea develops intercontinental missiles within range of London.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Their weapons aren\u2019t just missiles, bombs or poisons. Russia interferes with transatlantic cables. Chinese firms collect data for the state. Iran and its proxies direct cyber attacks against our institutions. In the so-called grey zone, these enemies operate with impunity, without attribution and below the threshold of military response, using misinformation to undermine our democratic processes.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Then there is the erosion of the rules-based order. Treaties that were signed by all of us are breached, abused or disregarded. Russia committed not to develop or store biological weapons, then uses them to try to murder its own citizens. China signed the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea but refuses to abide by court rulings on the South China Sea. Donald Trump undermined the World Trade and World Health organisations.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Look at the response to Covid. Ten years ago the world came together to tackle the financial crisis. Today we see the opposite:\u00a0China failing to notify on the virus early enough; the EU threatening to block vaccine exports.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Terrorism is still with us. Islamist terrorism \u2013 directed or inspired by groups such as Daesh \u2013 doesn\u2019t discriminate between its victims. The official threat level is \u201csubstantial\u201d: an attack in the UK remains likely. Finally, there\u2019s regional instability. Conflicts in the Middle East threaten our energy supplies and trigger migration to Europe. Russia continues to fuel the seven-year war in the Donbass in Ukraine. Insurgencies in the Sahel and elsewhere in Africa threaten European security. Territorial disputes in the Indo-Pacific endanger our trade routes.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>In this context, the review should first prioritise our geo-economic security. That means strengthening our resilience, ensuring our supply chains are more robust and that we retain sovereign capacity in industrial sectors such as biopharma and cyber. We should use both development aid and export finance to underpin our economic security. The military must be encouraged to better harness our defence in all five domains \u2013 land, sea, air, cyber and space \u2013 with British industry, building stronger partnerships in the new technologies.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Second, we should commit to reinvigorating global institutions. That means enforcing the membership rules, calling out breaches, sanctioning offenders and tackling corruption in the allocation of key posts. Nato needs modernising: it lacks policy on China, a coherent approach to Africa and is too fragmented in cyber deterrence.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Third, there\u2019s our ambition. The 2015 review reversed some of the more damaging cuts necessary in 2010, and we increased the budget again. With the welcome further boost in defence spending we remain the fifth or sixth biggest military power on the planet. So our reach should exceed our grasp. Instability in Africa, Russian aggression in Europe and the North Atlantic, the spawning of transnational terrorism in fragile democracies, Chinese behaviour in the Indo-Pacific \u2013 all these directly affect our own security.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>More than 70 countries came together to join our fight against the horror of Daesh. Our military can support our allies around the globe, showing a more permanent British presence in every region. We should work now with President Biden to build broader coalitions of the willing.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Finally, there are values. Democracy is running short of defenders: recent Freedom House surveys chart more countries becoming less democratic each year than the reverse. British experience in institution building, strengthening newly independent judiciaries, tackling corruption and increasing accountability should all be part of a much more imaginative deployment of our aid budget.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>So we don\u2019t need to be nostalgic or complacent about our place in the world. The review is our chance to show that Britain needn\u2019t be a bit player. With the right ambition and the new funding, it can reset our role as a rebuilder of the international order, a muscular champion of democratic values and a very useful ally of the free.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><em>Sir Michael Fallon is a former defence secretary<\/em><\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\r\n<figure class=\"alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"225\" height=\"225\" class=\"wp-image-2808\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FAS-St-Andrews.jpg\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FAS-St-Andrews.jpg 225w, https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FAS-St-Andrews-150x150.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 225px) 85vw, 225px\" \/><\/figure>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>The Foreign Affairs Society, University of St Andrews<\/strong><br \/><strong>12<sup>th<\/sup> November 2020<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<h5><strong><em>Through the shadow of the globe we sweep into the younger day\u00a0<br \/><br \/><\/em><\/strong><strong><em>Better fifty years of Europe than a cycle of Cathay<\/em><\/strong><\/h5>\r\n<h5><strong>\r\n\r\n<\/strong><\/h5>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>It is a pleasure to be speaking again at St Andrews.\u00a0 I\u2019m happy to discuss any aspect of defence and foreign policy later.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>This evening is well-timed.\u00a0 We leave the European Union, one way or another, at the end of next month; we must shortly conclude our five-yearly Defence Review; and we must prepare to deal with a new President in the White House and a Democrat Administration.\u00a0 A good hard look in the mirror, therefore, is opportune: I will touch briefly on Europe, then the Review, and our wider place in the world, before opening up for comments and questions.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>But the overall exam question is clear: must we, as the former Prime Minister Sir John Major argued this week, resign ourselves now to being a good second-rate power?\u00a0 Or can we still use our over-lapping memberships of NATO, the UN Security Council, the G7 and the Commonwealth (but no longer the EU), our history, our powerful military, our cultural soft power to continue, as the Foreign Office loves to claim, to \u201cpunch above our weight\u201d?\u00a0 Is British exceptionalism still useful camouflage or a deceptive chimera?\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Let me start with Europe. When I came up, exactly fifty years ago this autumn, the world was relatively benign.\u00a0 Though the Vietnam conflict dragged on, Europe was peaceful. \u00a0But it wasn\u2019t of course free.\u00a0 Half of Europe\u2019s citizens didn\u2019t have the vote, and not just those behind the Iron Curtain: Greece, Spain and Portugal were dictatorships. Nor was communism on the wane: there were growing Euro-communist parties in Italy and France, and soon a nationalising quasi-socialist government here too.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>As students we were pro-Europe; we supported Britain\u2019s joining the European Community in 1973.\u00a0 Many Conservatives (but not all) then saw the European Community as a limiting constitution in the Hayekian sense, protecting citizens from communist, fascist or dictatorial governments by insisting on democratic norms.\u00a0 Indeed it\u2019s forgotten now that it was a Conservative Government that took Britain in, a later Conservative government under Margaret Thatcher that championed both the single market and enlargement, from six members when we arrived to 29 countries as we leave.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Neither Thatcher nor Major, however, were able to do more than park the essential incompatibility of successive European treaties and the legal positivism of its institutions with our parliamentary and legal systems.\u00a0 The unspoken but implicit consent involved in the transfer of substantial sovereignty from Westminster to Brussels was always likely to wither unless refreshed.\u00a0 Instead it was steadily abused.\u00a0 For the federalists \u201cEurope\u201d was always a centralising, harmonising, essentially coercive project: lost or very close referendums in France, Denmark and Ireland should have warned them against excessive speed.\u00a0 Pressure to regain \u201ccontrol\u201d was the inevitable reaction.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>But we should also be careful about what we\u2019re giving up.\u00a0 Co-operation on security and against terrorism requires the closest co-ordination and intelligence-sharing between our police forces and our agencies.\u00a0 The legal weight of EU sanctions \u2013 against Russia or Iran for example \u2013 can only be matched by that of the United States.\u00a0 Some mechanism to co-ordinate foreign policy will matter: we won\u2019t always take different positions from our former partners.\u00a0 It hasn\u2019t had the attention devoted to fisheries and car parts but a comprehensive Security Agreement must be part of the final Brexit negotiation.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Next, he Integrated Review offers a timely opportunity to review current threats and to match our capabilities against them.\u00a0 (It\u2019s not in fact the first to be \u201cintegrated\u201d: the 2015 Review was Strategic, fusing homeland and external security, elevating economic prosperity as a security objective, and strengthening the role of defence diplomacy).\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Let\u2019s look at those current threats.\u00a0 First, there are those countries that actively wish us harm, politically or economically.\u00a0 Countries such as Russia, China, Iran and North Korea \u2013 each in different ways posing a very real threat to our way of life.\u00a0 Russia has attacked and killed in one of our cathedral cities; China steals our technology and undermines the rule of law that we jointly bequeathed to Hong Kong; revolutionary Iran sponsors terrorism directly in the Middle East and indirectly in Europe and Britain; North Korean missiles are being developed within intercontinental range of London as well as of Los Angeles.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>And the weapons of these countries aren\u2019t just missiles or poisons.\u00a0 Russia interferes with transatlantic cables; Chinese companies collect data and intelligence for the state.\u00a0 They also use misinformation and subversion to undermine democratic processes; they deploy cyber to disrupt our institutions and businesses; they can operate in the grey zone, out of uniform, through shadowy para-militaries and private armies.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Second, there is the retreat from multi-lateralism and the startling decline of the rules-based international order.\u00a0 Treaties and conventions that were signed by all of us \u2013 by Russia, by the United States, by China \u2013 are breached, abused, or simply disregarded.\u00a0 Russia pledged not to develop or store biological weapons, then uses them to murder its own citizens; the United States helped found the rules of world trade but under President Trump has deliberately undermined the functioning of the WTO; China signed the Law of the Sea Convention but refuses to abide by the Hague court\u2019s rulings.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Or look at the response to Covid.\u00a0 Just ten or so years ago there was extensive international co-operation in tackling the financial crisis.\u00a0 Finance ministers and bank chiefs across the globe co-ordinated their policies to avoid a total meltdown: from the UK Gordon Brown led a huge international effort. \u00a0With this year\u2019s pandemic we\u2019ve seen the exact opposite: China failing to notify its dangers sufficiently early; the United States threatening to defund the World Health Organisation; EU member states re-introducing border controls and blocking the movement of vital equipment; richer countries grabbing personal protection equipment around the world from the poorer.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Third, there\u2019s terrorism.\u00a0 From London Bridge to Nice, Paris to Vienna we\u2019ve suffered murderous attacks on our way of life.\u00a0 Islamist terrorism \u2013 organised, directed or just inspired by transnational groups such as Al Quaeda and the Daesh \u2013 doesn\u2019t discriminate between its victims, Christian, Jew or Moslem.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>And terror now takes new forms.\u00a0 Through the cyber domain our enemies can target us from anywhere on the planet: not only stealing our information but disrupting our energy systems, our infrastructure, even our Parliament.\u00a0 Anybody can become a cyber warrior: a laptop and smart software can inflict enormous physical and financial damage on individuals or even on entire countries. The Daesh continues to use social media to spread terror; state-based hackers target our NHS; loners in their bedrooms can shut down government networks. \u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Fourth, there is regional instability.\u00a0 Long-running conflicts in the Middle East threaten our energy supplies and trigger huge immigration flows towards western Europe.\u00a0 Russian continues to fuel the six-year long war in the Donbass, and openly intervenes in democracies across the western Balkans.\u00a0\u00a0 Disputes in the Indo-Pacific threaten our trade routes.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>I hope that the Integrated Review will help us deal with all these threats.\u00a0 First, by prioritising our geo-economic security.\u00a0 That means strengthening our resilience as a country, ensuring that our supply lines are more plural and more robust, that we retain sovereign capacity in key industrial, biopharma and cyber security sectors, and that we can better handle both natural hazards and malicious threats. \u00a0It should also involve further fusion across government, using both development aid and export finance to underpin our economic security.\u00a0 Within the military, it means fusing effort across all five domains \u2013 land, sea, air, space and cyber \u2013 with British industry to maximise its effectiveness.\u00a0 More sophisticated information systems and technologies will be the new hardware.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Second, the rules-based international order.\u00a0 Here we really must build back better.\u00a0 We should commit to re-invigorating and modernising the key global institutions: WTO, UN, NATO, WHO and the rest.\u00a0 That means enforcing the rules of membership, calling out breaches loudly and clearly instead of passively accepting them, sanctioning or expelling offenders, refusing to tolerate moral corruption in the allocation of key posts and chairmanships.\u00a0 It should also mean modernising: NATO\u2019s membership has doubled from 15 to 30 but it has no policy on China, no coherent approach to the Gulf and Africa, and too fragmented an approach to cyber deterrence.\u00a0\u00a0 The United Kingdom, a founder member of so many of these bodies, has much underspent capital here: it\u2019s time to deploy it.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Third, there\u2019s our ambition.\u00a0 The 2015 Strategic Defence and Security Review reversed some of the more damaging cuts that were financially necessary in 2010; and we began to increase the budget again ahead of inflation for the first time.\u00a0 We remain the fifth or sixth biggest military power on the planet.\u00a0 So our reach certainly should exceed our grasp.\u00a0 Instability in Africa, the spawning of transnational terrorism in fragile democracies, Russian aggression in the Euro-Atlantic area, Chinese behaviour in the Indo-Pacific \u2013 all of these directly affect our own security. \u00a0If Afghanistan collapses, that\u2019s potentially several million migrating westwards.\u00a0 If Iraq implodes again, our gas and oil supplies from the wider region are in jeopardy.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Committing forces abroad, more persistent presence in the Gulf and the Pacific, more regular exercising and training with allies across the globe \u2013 all these things require a bigger budget.\u00a0 But consider that twenty years ago, in the last year of the last century, long before 9\/11 and Al Qaeda, long before the Islamist attacks in London and Manchester, before Russia invaded the Crimea, before Chinese imperialism, before Kim was able to fire missiles over the Sea of Japan, we were spending 2.7 per cent of our GDP on defence.\u00a0 Today it\u2019s 2.1 per cent. Despite all the other pressures we have to do better: let\u2019s set a new benchmark of 2.5 per cent for the end of this Parliament.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Finally, that Review should be values-driven.\u00a0 It falls to us, with our belief in free elections and the peaceful transfer of power, including the important principle of loser\u2019s consent (apparently forgotten for the moment in the United States) to be democracy\u2019s champion.\u00a0 Democracy is running short of defenders.\u00a0 Who could have foreseen the erosion of hard-won freedoms in some EU member states or that Russia would attempt a coup in Montenegro or intervene in American elections ?\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Democracy can never, therefore, be taken for granted.\u00a0 In a lifetime from study at St Andrews fifty years ago to retirement, via senior public office, I\u2019ve seen democracy ebb and flow.\u00a0 Countries that we thought had finally become democratic are no longer so; others are under external pressure to revert.\u00a0 Freedom House in its annual surveys in each of the last six years charts more countries becoming less democratic than the reverse, amongst them venerable democracies such as the USA and India.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>So, at the dawn of a new US Presidency, I suggest that we need to do two things: we must recommit to our democratic values and we must redouble our determination to defend them.\u00a0 At home that means strengthening our own democracy before we preach too fervently to others.\u00a0 Better voter ID (you need a photo to drive a car but not to vote), regular and compulsory boundary reviews, an independent statistical watchdog with real teeth, better protection of free speech and debate: these are reforms essential to the restoration of trust.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Abroad, there\u2019s much we can do to help with institution-building: reinforcing independent judiciaries and training in systems of accountability.\u00a0\u00a0 And when those democracies are in danger we should act.\u00a0 With the advantage of one of the world\u2019s biggest and best trained militaries, we should continue to support fragile democracies when they call for help: not always with boots on the ground but with the technology, air power, training, and counter-terrorism and \u00a0intelligence systems that they may lack.\u00a0 That\u2019s in our long-term interest as well as theirs: facing up to transnational terrorism will, sadly, continue to be the challenge of your generation.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>But we will not be alone.\u00a0 Setting aside the Falklands heroics, a campaign that was a one-off, Britain works best in concert: in NATO, with key allies like the USA and France, in international coalitions.\u00a0 More than 70 nations, some of them Islamic, joined our fight against the horror of the Daesh. \u00a0We can work with President Biden now, to build broader coalitions of the willing: to uphold the rule of law in the Indo-Pacific, to protect key international waterways such as Hormuz, the Bab-el-Mandab and the Strait of Malacca, and to help stabilise war-torn countries such as Libya and the Yemen.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>So I don\u2019t wholly agree with my friend Sir John Major.\u00a0 Of course, we shouldn\u2019t be complacent or nostalgic.\u00a0 But equally we don\u2019t have to drift downwards into being a bit-part world player, a part-time champion of democracy and freedom.\u00a0 That would mean walking away from our international obligations, letting down our natural allies, and in the end leaving us less safe.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>So this Review really matters.\u00a0 It can fill out the Prime Minister\u2019s vision of a more open, confident, forward-looking and global Britain.\u00a0 With the right ambition and more generous funding, it can reset our role as a rebuilder of the international order, a muscular champion of democratic values, and a very, very useful ally of the free.<\/p>\r\n<p>______________________________________________________________<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\r\n<figure class=\"alignright is-resized\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/RUSI.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-800\" src=\"http:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/RUSI.jpg\" alt=\"RUSI\" width=\"225\" height=\"68\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>Conservative Defence Policy<br \/><\/strong><strong>Rt Hon Michael Fallon, Defence Secretary<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rusi.org\/events\/ref:E5506F525F0CF4#.VSz5xtzF9dc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Royal United Services Institute<\/a> <\/strong><br \/><strong>10 April 2015<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>It\u2019s a pleasure to be here to set out the Conservative Party\u2019s Defence Policy.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Defence of the realm is the first duty of government.\u00a0 In 26 days\u2019 time people will be casting their votes at a time when we are seeing multiple, concurrent challenges to the international order that many believe is unprecedented.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>In Eastern Europe, Russia is subverting democracy &#8211; seeking to change international borders by force and destabilising a sovereign state.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>In the Middle East, ISIL is spreading a new form of fascism in its warped drive to create a caliphate and bringing its terror to the shores of the Mediterranean in Libya. We are seeing conflict in Yemen which threatens our interests in the Gulf.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>And in Africa, Boko Haram, is causing chaos in northern Nigeria and along its border<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Britain is better placed to respond to the threats we face because over the past five years Conservative Defence Secretaries have acted to ensure that our Armed Forces have the support they need to keep Britain safe.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>That meant taking difficult decisions to deal with the \u00a338 billion black hole in the defence budget that we inherited from Labour:<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We had to scrap much-loved capabilities such as the Harriers and HMS Ark Royal.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We cancelled out of control procurement programmes like Nimrod.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We\u2019ve sorted out the rebasing of our troops bringing back our troops from western Germany.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>And, we\u2019ve made some tough choices about the size of the Armed Forces.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Although we did so in a way that has protected our front line clout.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>And it meant undertaking a major programme to reform the Ministry of Defence to ensure that unlike the chaos we inherited that equipment is delivered on time and on budget.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Our reforms are cutting the costs and delay of defence projects \u2013 the cost of the 11 largest projects fell by \u00a3400m in 2014.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>And we are becoming more efficient so we can better support the frontline and our more agile Future Force. Our reforms are on track to deliver the \u00a34.3Bn of efficiencies agreed in the 2010 Spending Review as well as a further \u00a31.1 billion agreed in the 2013 Spending Review.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Over \u00a35 billion of efficiencies that were not identified, let alone achieved by Labour.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>As a result of these reforms, we have successfully balanced the budget and the MOD is now trusted again with the Treasury having granted us the largest delegated budget of any Whitehall department.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>It is only with a strong economy that you can have a strong defence: we now have a properly funded \u00a334 billion a year defence budget. The biggest in the EU and the second biggest in NATO.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We need that budget to keep Britain safe and to play our part in enforcing the rules based system.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>So this is Conservative defence policy.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>First, we will keep Britain safe.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Our brave Armed Forces are working 24\/7 across the world to protect us. Last year 90,000 troops deployed to over 50 countries.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>In Iraq, we making the second largest contribution to airstrikes against ISIL after the US and providing critical surveillance, command-and-control and refuelling. Britain is also training and equipping Iraqi forces and we have 145 troops inside Iraq training on heavy machine guns, infantry and counter-IED.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>In the Ukraine, British personnel are delivering training in medical, logistics, infantry and intelligence capacity building. We are also increasing our provision of non-lethal equipment.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>At the same time, we are reassuring our NATO allies through Baltic Air Policing, and significantly increasing our exercise programme in eastern Europe, to remind President Putin of our commitment to Article 5.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>As well as all this, we were still able to dispatch a ship, helicopters and 700 personnel, with just 10 days notice, to Sierra Leone to combat Ebola. Helping cut new cases of the disease from 700 a week to fewer than 40.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>But our Armed Forces also keep us safe at home whether the Quick Reaction Alert crews ready to defend our skies, the Royal Navy protecting our home waters, or the military guarding the Olympics and backing up the police on counter terrorism.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Second, Conservatives will ensure Britain remains at the forefront of efforts to overcome threats to the international rules-based order on which our security and prosperity depend.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Some thought that Labour\u2019s vote against limited action against Assad\u2019s regime in Syria in 2013 marked the end of Britain playing that role. I\u2019m relieved that has not proved to be the case.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>But continuing to play our part means we must be readier than ever to respond to multiple crises simultaneously.\u00a0 So we will deliver our reforms to create a more agile and deployable Future Force drawing on regulars and reserves to deter and, if necessary, to engage aggressors.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We are investing nearly \u00a32 billion in our Reserve Forces and recruitment is on track. The Army Reserve trained strength has gone up over the past 12 months to 20,480 &#8211; above our target for year end. Overall we are on track to deliver a trained strength for all three Armed Forces of 35,000 by 2020.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Our plans mean we will be one of very few countries able to deploy a Division-sized force when required. And the Prime Minister has made clear that there will be no further cuts to our regular Armed Forces.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>In contrast, the Labour Party have said they would not take Army 2020 forward in its current form.\u00a0 Scrapping the plan that was designed by the current Chief of the General Staff would throw our forces into chaos at a dangerous time.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>And our commitment to defending the world order is unstinting. That is why we\u2019re pressing hard to strengthen NATO &#8211; the bedrock of our defence.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>At last September&#8217;s NATO summit in Newport, we and the US persuaded all Alliance members to increase their spending on defence and to respond more rapidly to unfolding crises.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Since then we\u2019ve become one of the first Nations to support NATO\u2019s new Very High Readiness Joint Task Force \u2013 committing to lead the force in 2017. And we are the only country so far to commit to all eight new headquarters and Force Integration Units in eastern Europe.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Third, a Conservative government will make sure our Armed Forces have the capabilities that they need.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Over the next ten years we are committed to spending \u00a3163 billion on equipment and equipment support.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>That includes new Joint Strike Fighters; more surveillance aircraft; seven hunter killer submarines; two aircraft carriers; and nearly 600 of the most advanced armoured vehicles.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>The future of our nuclear deterrent has become one of the big questions at this election.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>For 45 years, Britain has kept a ballistic missile submarine at sea providing the ultimate guarantee of security against nuclear attack or nuclear blackmail, 24\/7, 365 days per year.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>And today, in a world where there are approximately 17,000 nuclear weapons, we cannot gamble with the security that our deterrent provides.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We know that there are substantial nuclear arsenals and the number of nuclear states have increased. Russia is modernising its nuclear forces and actively commissioning a new class of 8 ballistic missile submarines. North Korea has conducted three nuclear tests and ballistic missile tests in defiance of the international community.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Other often unstable states want nuclear weapon and seek the technology to develop them.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We cannot know what nuclear threats may emerge in the 2030s, 2040s and 2050s, the only responsible choice is to recommit to our continuous at sea deterrent now so that we can cope with any direct nuclear threat to the UK, or our NATO allies.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>That is why I have announced that the Conservative manifesto will guarantee that we will build a new fleet of four Successor Ballistic Missile Submarines, replacing the four Vanguard boats. We will retain the Trident continuous at sea nuclear deterrent to provide the ultimate guarantee of our security.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>There is simply no alternative to continuous patrols that provides the same level of protection and deterrence.\u00a0 Two years ago the official government review concluded\u00a0that there is no alternative as capable or cost-effective as a submarine-based deterrent.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>While some parties have proposed three boats, all earlier studies have shown that four submarines are required to maintain this continuous posture.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>The cost of the Successor submarines is estimated to be \u00a325 billion at outturn prices. These costs will be spread over 25 years and if the cost was spread evenly, they would represent an annual insurance premium of 0.13% of government spending.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Yesterday, as you may have seen\u2026I raised the dangers that a Labour Party propped up by the Scottish National Party would pose to renewal of our deterrent. The only way Ed Miliband can get into Downing Street is with the support of Nicola Sturgeon \u2013 and earlier this week she said we \u2018better believe that Trident is a red line\u2019.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Among the bluster in response, the central issue facing voters in four weeks\u2019 time remains can you trust Ed Miliband not to put the nuclear deterrent on the bargaining table in some shabby back room deal with the SNP?<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>The next Government must plan ahead, renew that deterrent, so that we can always\u00a0keep\u00a0one of\u00a0our boats continuously at sea.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>The Conservatives are the only party to make that pledge unequivocally.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Some of the other parties\u2019 positions are frankly absurd. The Liberal Democrats, for example, want to spend billions to \u201creplace some of the submarines\u201d and make our deterrent part time. They have now committed to going to sea with unarmed missiles.\u00a0 Pointless patrols proposed, a pointless policy proposed by an increasingly a pointless party.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Put simply, it is only the Conservatives that will not gamble with the security of the British people.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Finally a Conservative government will always back the Armed Forces community \u2013 our troops, our veterans and their families.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We enshrined the principles of the Military Covenant in law so that never again can our servicemen and women find the Covenant is not honoured.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Over the past five year we have supported our personnel and their families with \u00a31 billion invested in better accommodation and our \u00a3200m Forces Help to Buy scheme has helped thousands of personnel move in to their own home.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We have used over \u00a3100m of LIBOR fines to improve accommodation, childcare, and support military charities.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Injured soldiers now have access better treatment and to the latest prosthetics and \u00a3300 million will be invested in a new world-class rehabilitation facility at Stanford Hall.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Supporting our troops also means protecting them from legal claims that seek to override established international humanitarian law with human rights laws.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>The cumulative effect of Strasbourg\u2019s decisions on the freedom to conduct military operations raises serious challenges which were highlighted again by former Chiefs\u2019 only last week.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>And over the last few years we have seen the lodging of legal claims on an industrial scale.\u00a0 Many are for events that happened long ago. I have instructed the MOD to robustly contest such claims but they are costing taxpayers millions of pounds and are undermining our Armed Forces.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>The next Conservative government will ensure that our Armed Forces overseas are not subject to persistent human rights claims that undermine their ability to do their job.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>This isn\u2019t about putting our Armed Forces above the law. The Law of Armed Conflict based on the Geneva Conventions will still apply. Our troops who are injured will still get the compensation they deserve.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>But it will stop spurious claims and the worst form of ambulance chasing.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Top of the in-tray after the election will be the SDSR and spending review.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>I have been overseeing some preliminary work to assess what has changed in the international security environment, and how the risks to our have evolved.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We have also been examining lessons from past operations and assessing what operations we may have to conduct during the next decade, where, when, with and against whom.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>That work will inform the National Security Strategy and the next SDSR and decisions around capability gaps.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>As Defence Secretary I have been instilling the need for the MOD as an organisation that spends \u00a334 billion a year to be permanently fit, not just getting fit for spending reviews.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>In this Parliament we have shown the major savings that can be made through new approaches:<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>By selling the Defence Support Group which maintains the Army\u2019s vehicles, we got \u00a3140 million for taxpayers and will generate \u00a3500 million of savings over a ten year contract.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We brought in a strategic partner to get to grips with the sprawling defence property estate which will save \u00a33 billion over ten years.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We need to continue this in the next five.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Where my party differs from Labour is that, while we will find more efficiencies we are committed to spending \u00a334 billion this year on defence \u2013 their zero-based review means that they cannot commit to any of our spending programmes.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>To conclude I want to set out our commitment to a strong defence.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>We have met and will this year again meet the 2 per cent target.\u00a0 Decisions on spending beyond 15\/16 are for the autumn spending review.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>But we make three stronger, more specific commitments, a new triple lock that guarantees the shape and power of our armed forces beyond the spending review right through to the end of the next Parliament.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>First, we commit to increasing the defence equipment budget by at least 1 per cent more than inflation throughout the Parliament: this will enable us to invest in our two new aircraft carriers, the biggest ships the Royal Navy has ever seen; seven hunter killer nuclear submarines; 600 new armoured vehicles for the Army; and the new Joint Strike Fighters.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Second, we commit to making no further reductions in the size of our Regular armed forces.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Third, we commit to modernising our independent nuclear deterrent, replacing the four existing Vanguard submarines with new submarines that will serve through to 2060.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Three long term commitments unmatched by any other party.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>I am confident that the public will look at the last five years and judge that it is only the Conservative Party and our long term economic plan that will make sure our Armed Forces have the resources they need to defend our interests and values across the world for the next five and beyond.<\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>26th March 2026 THE UK-US RELATIONSHIP: \u00a0HOW SPECIAL NOW? \u00a0Sir Michael Fallon, former Defence Secretary, speaking to the Harkness Fellows \u00a0It\u2019s a pleasure to be addressing the Harkness Fellows this evening, and especially on such an important topic. \u00a0Well-timed too, not just because of the current conflict in the Gulf but because we mark this &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/?page_id=794\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Speeches &#038; Articles&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":2,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/794"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=794"}],"version-history":[{"count":55,"href":"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/794\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3088,"href":"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/794\/revisions\/3088"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.michaelfallon.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=794"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}